midatlanticweather

We just hit 5.2 degrees in Purcellville.. Maybe we reach the dp of 3???

5 here as well.. How low can it go?

7 degrees. Snow really helped bring the temp down

Entire driveway is recovered again from blowing snow. Super slippery

Driveway is sheet of ice. Careful out there

Broke 3 inches. Unfortunately, broke out a fever and fell asleep for 3.5 hours. Now have to shovel before the glacier

Light snow in Purcellville

34 here in Purcellville. Skies look like snow, but have not seen anything yet! Seems we are on the edge of better stuff today! Fringed! LOL! Some Fringed worse so I am not complaining! DP 25

LR looks like Pacific is gonna crash the cold for sure! (GFS) - Not too excited at this point based on that model!

I am gonna say - even if it snows - trace to half inch at best on some grass! Not excited! Well - at least for the GFS depiction

Happy 19th anniversary of the January 25, 2000 snowstorm surprise! https://projects.ncsu.edu/atmos_collaboration/nwsfo/storage/cases/20000125/ https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/features/Blizzard

Long range snows seem to fade. Long range rainstorms only seem to get confirmed! So my bet is on rain...

^Truth! .3" of rain so far... almost calm winds with heavy fog! Not exactly the forecast!

Thank you @Isotherm @psuhoffman and @Bob ChiII for the in depth analysis and insight. I just went to school for a bit and loved it!

You can say that agai.... Never mind! LOL!

Oh how I miss this!

Currently, 8.2 degrees! Coldest of the season. Expecting some rising soon.

Deb moment here - we are in the middle of the statistically BEST time of the year to get snow and the models are in chaos.. but not trending positive. If we cannot get a good storm this period, then sun angle, less exciting events are all we will have left (ya.. I am being pessimistic here, and sun angle is the ability for snow to stay on the ground! I still have huge glaciers littering my landscape) - the forever just out of reach -NAO and great setups that never materialize are depressing! I get it that we usually get snow with flukes and luck, but this year is becoming very depressing! Due to the chaos, though, maybe things are just not showing their hand yet.. but honestly, when will they? Yes, I have had close to 15 inches of snow this season, but I was expecting the 150 to 200% snows that seemed possible! LOL! We are not done yet, but delays are going to rob us a lot of the best winter! Also, I have to be out of the area the last week of February - that would be very bad news if we get something significant when I cannot be here! OK - Deb downer moment over!

This was discussed. GEFS are just the old GFS. The FV3 release is delayed and then the GEFS associated with the FV3 are far off from when it releases. That was what was shared previously.

Any mets willing to speak with some scouts this Saturday about weather via Skype (or in person) in the Purcellville, VA area? Let me know! Thanks!

Can you be a little less specific? LOL! Cold seems a lock!

Looks like what I am seeing remind me of the "surprise" short range systems that can over-perform and become bigger with out too many changes... I am mentioning ONLY because I am thinking of a famous January 25 .. not saying we have that look, but some things remind me of it.

I wish it was a striped red ball, because I felt like I was finding Waldo!!

I am happy not to be the bullseye this far out! Looked good to me!