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midatlanticweather

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Everything posted by midatlanticweather

  1. Still sleet/rain mix here in Purcellville.
  2. And just like that.. flakes have slowed to almost a stop. Surprised by this burst, but that did not last too long! See more building slowly to the west.
  3. Snowing well out here in Purcellville. Slushing up the pavement and a coating already! Temp is down to 34. Big flakes, but not quite what we say last Sunday.
  4. I say you pull a Leroy Jenkins and start the Obs.. if the Euro tries to throw us something, we can share it there.. but the writing is clear! And we will be seeing echoes soon!!
  5. Even if not perfect, the output has been a harbinger of eventual outcome. I mean, the model is doing what it is supposed to do.. giving guidance that can be used to make educated forecasts. I am impressed. It is becoming clear that this year, the way things are set up, it is a model that needs respect for possibilities. No model is perfect, but they do let you know what to watch for... Much more respect. I feel @ers-wxman1 should chime in as he saw the merit to it in the first storm.
  6. You are good man! I appreciate the input! BTW - @Ji and I are in the dead zone! LOL! Amazing! You do a good job of posting strategically. But who posts is like a Machine Learning algorithm on whether something looks good or bad! What a crazy time!
  7. How do you know a storm is likely a dud? All the red taggers disappear! Bob goes back into hibernation. PSU may post when someone's reasoning is way off, but he becomes a lurker. Every weenie becomes a wishcaster and thinks they can will a storm in the right direction. And the mood is so low as the chase has died. Depressing
  8. GFS is lost with all the waves of energy and the sprawling Highs.
  9. Come on GFS to make us feel a bit better.. then the EURO for the real better feel. NEED THAT NORTH TREND.. on Wave 2
  10. NAM almost has the nightmare scenario ! Too far south for wave 1 and too far north for wave 2!
  11. I am no met, but I was mentioning yesterday that these waves, from what I remember, are 3 to 5 inch snows.. the difference here is there were two waves instead of one which was doing better! Jut my 2 cents... This wave still looks like an overperformer for those perfectly set up. Again, not a met.. just going from memory
  12. Seems everything shifted north. Mix line is on the dooratep here in Loudoun
  13. Most favorite quote from you in the 2013 - 2014 epic year was that if the atmosphere farted, we got snow! I still laugh at that!! Some similarities, in a way, to what we are seeing in this stretch.
  14. HH GFS Ensembles? Anyone got maps? Yep.. I am in a meeting! LOL! Where is the Bingo card on this event?
  15. If my memory serves me (and it may not) waves like this are usually 3 to 5 inch events (higher in the higher spots).. So we get two, which would net 6 to 10 inches (maybe?).. I would think. A long while ago in the early 90s (yep..) I remember tracking one of something like this and it was a 3 to 6 inch event .. I was an intern at the Climate Analysis Center at the time... but it quickly moved through. So two, seems like a double of the same thing. On to the model analysis!
  16. Remember it very well! Sleet bomb it was! Looked like sand when the salt and sand was on the sleet. Nasty stuff.
  17. Snow is melting so fast. We have had OK rates off and on. Measured a while back and had 2 inches. Measured again and can see it has compacted and melted. Stuck a 2 inches. Snowed a lot more than 2 inches by now.
  18. Snow slowed and flakes got smaller but I measured a solid 2 inches so far
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