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midatlanticweather

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  1. midatlanticweather
    35/11 in Purcellville
  2. midatlanticweather
    Seems like it stepped back in Nova and on precip as well. Icing looks bad further North and west - Prefer snow and not ice so I would be OK with that.
  3. midatlanticweather
    This double band situation is becoming more real. 18z Nam shows it too. Of course right across mby and DC area get screwed
  4. midatlanticweather
    yes- at least on the NAM - Euro kind of leaned that way previously, but came in better at 6z. GFS kind of agrees, but I suspected a bit south. And it is PA now that looks like the best thump - sleet and FZ for Nova and MD - except the Mts do well with the WAA thump. The 2-4 inch call for Nova and Southern MD - probably better bet.
  5. midatlanticweather
    Jet streak is north - Precip is going north!
  6. midatlanticweather
    Going back, I remember a comment a long while back that the Jet Streak was the thing that would bring heaviest snows to an area. Seems to line up well with models, but maybe the more north (NAM) would be more favored for most Precip. Anyways, anyone on a flight from the west gets some serious tailwind!
  7. midatlanticweather
    NWS - Warning for Purcellville shows the 4 to 6 inches. Point and click shows 5 to 9 inches. Expected is 7" on winter page. I am thinking 4 to 6 inches personally. Then icy mess. Hopefully no power issues but 0.22 inches of ice will be worse than what we just had last week and that was bad news out here, especially just to my west. Gonna be a long next few days
  8. midatlanticweather
    I was quite surprised by how many trees and limbs came down, but I have a hard time remembering the last big ice event here so there were many weak trees and limbs that were poised to come down. Agreed, last storm was bad and took a life in Leesburg. Power issues on and off for 2 days.
  9. midatlanticweather
    Last week's system did a number on trees and power issues were quite crazy. This looks to be similar or worse .. @clskinsfan - No idea honestly. I think it does bias high though..
  10. midatlanticweather
    Well this would be a bit of an issue if true!
  11. midatlanticweather
    Agreed! Just typed up a response and felt I was not in the right place!
  12. midatlanticweather
    What happened to @bobchill
  13. midatlanticweather
    Snow winter storm warning followed by glazed ice storm. Rough week ahead if this comes true. Hoping more snow
  14. midatlanticweather
    Boom banam
  15. midatlanticweather
    HA!
  16. midatlanticweather
    Seems like the 1st weekend in March is possible!
  17. midatlanticweather
    Pivotal weather is getting the feed faster. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_fv3&p=prateptype_cat&rh=2019021512&fh=6&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
  18. midatlanticweather
    Wow! If we had the neg NAO and 50/50 (guess they are the same) this week would have been great!
  19. midatlanticweather
    So we are trusting the icon to save the last hopes of winter! Guess it is not over! Could not help but think of this:
  20. midatlanticweather
    I remember the concern that the area getting snow would be narrow and a fail north or south was very possible. FV3 takes best moisture around Richmond.. pretty good snow in that line on FV3.. GFS - little more spread out and not quite as moist. FV3 (weenie model) GFS:
  21. midatlanticweather
    Well, 2023 - LOL! One note, heading to UK Week after next - remember that I will be working on the NAO - If it goes negative.. it was because of me.. In all seriousness.. I am truly not tracking after march 15.. We could get that MECS/HECS March 2 - 3 as I have believed when I keep looking at longer range! But for this theat - OVER The fat lady sang, the curtain closed - the fork has been stuck, the last page turned. It was a fluke because it showed up all of a sudden!
  22. midatlanticweather
    And I am out.. Next(year?)
  23. midatlanticweather
    Officially have El Nino! Means March is gonna rock! https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf
  24. midatlanticweather
    Super weak sauce now! If we do not re-amp I am thinking "storm" should be removed from the thread title and just call it an event. trends ain't our friend!
  25. midatlanticweather
    Perfect! Now - just hold - get a bit juicier - and expand the 6"+ areas a bit - But in general I love the looks for a 3 to 5 inch with some getting and extra inch or 2! I like it a lot! Not convinced yet!
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