Bob,
Do not take this personally, but I hope you are wrong... I think you are right. We want a good set up and not a fluke or even a quick change because they tend to quickly change unfavorable. I hope things begin progressing sooner, that is all. A White Christmas would be great! 10% chance maybe that could happen.. but I do not feel it is 0%, even with the atrocious look of the GFS.