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midatlanticweather

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Everything posted by midatlanticweather

  1. Well dang! Time to go guzzle some eggnog! I think there is a general trend to crappy - how we get there is in debate..how long we stay there is based on how bad of a pattern we are talking. As far as a big rainstorm, you can bet that will happen! We only struggle to get moisture when it is cold. Working on shattering every rain record we can!
  2. @WxUSAF and @Superstorm all pointing out the Screaming! One of these systems (if they happen) should be called John Jacob Engleheimer Schmidt
  3. Shoot! Get that colder and suppressed a bit and NC will score again...
  4. I swear I posted a GFS Snow Map a week or so ago that looked like this.
  5. Bob, Do not take this personally, but I hope you are wrong... I think you are right. We want a good set up and not a fluke or even a quick change because they tend to quickly change unfavorable. I hope things begin progressing sooner, that is all. A White Christmas would be great! 10% chance maybe that could happen.. but I do not feel it is 0%, even with the atrocious look of the GFS.
  6. I just measure it... Probably about the same as your back yard here. Ripping virga
  7. 26/20 - May hook up the hose and air compressor and try the snow machine idea! May not!
  8. 15 for a low is very impressive out my way!!
  9. At least the 384 hr GFS has a noreaster.. I can relax now
  10. Put a fork in it for your back yard... Their is singing going on by a rather large woman. It is a low ball outside the strike zone, do not swing at it... It's not happening... Go home because it is not even a go at all!
  11. Wow. 6z GFS hates Virginia. What an odd storm
  12. What we already know and summed up well.. But terrible for mby
  13. The synoptic elements for the storm are not! So we can start looking at items that will impact Day 4 by Day 2/3.. so we are getting close to shutting the window! We can still be wrong, but it will have to be something new the models have been missing consistently for MANY MANY model runs now..
  14. The phase idea seems less and less likely... it was the Hail Mary for us weenies.. and, like Lucy taking the football away, it is less and less likely! Here is the deal: Been great to have a threat! Southern streams are so wet and this will be a doozy of a system Thank goodness this is even before the start of Meteorological Winter. I will hate looking at % of normal snow for the season and be far less than south We have time! Hoping long range gives us more hope. There is probably going to be a north trend, but that wall has to come down.. it may really hurt or be a 30 minute ride to see a lot of snow! See y'all at 11 ETA - Meant regular Winter! Meteorological winter started December 1st! OOPS!
  15. I just see the wall of 1040 Highs depicted..
  16. This sub-forum is pretty big! It takes a bit for people to adjust to Storm Mode... I think it was good timing because the amount of banter (including mine) gets crazy when a model run is good -- but ESPECIALLY if it is bad!
  17. TRUTH! Yesterday I started wondering if the system gets trapped after too far east and then slams SNE.. leaving the Dreaded donut hole like December 2011... I am haveing PTNSIMBYD - Post Traumatic No Storm IMBY Disorder when I think of that map.
  18. I like this post and agree with it. When we are jackpot on storms like this, I have a real concern of the north shift. I also worry that the Northern Stream interaction hoses the upper levels. If it is going to do this, maybe the upper level screw job only gets so far north.. if you are jackpot now, you have a huge chance of them screwing your back yard. I do not want to Jinx anything ( @Ji thinks I am the king of jinxing) but I think we *COULD* be in a great place. Additionally, I was unimpressed by the North and Northwestward extent of the moisture on the Euro.. that seemed to scream NW VA would be in a good spot.. but I know more physics that what I am looking at are involved.
  19. No. The storm went negative tilt in SC and was forecast to go out to sea. The 500mb low phased and caught it and had it ride up the coast. Forecasts went from sunny to winter storm warnings slowly northward from SC to MD. 10 to 20 inches fell.. All a surprise because models kept missing the phase and capture
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