midatlanticweather

I remember a few things about this storm. The first was how convinced I was it was going to go south, and second how the forecast started to really change in our favor as we got closer. The last was DT's comment that there was "no reason why this will not go north" and it opened the door to the historic storm.. and it was a good cold snow! My hopes are becoming less and less for this to turn favorable, but there is hope! We have advanced quite a bit in technology since then, but errors are just as possible today as they were then! What do we want to see over the next few days (besides the obvious model changes) To me: Speed of the wave The confluence in NE Where the wave comes on shore out west Strength of the storm A million others I am certain, but these are the very first things I look at when the model shows the energy hitting the west coast

I need to figure out how to set a few of these up near my area to account for different wind directions! Only operating in the cold snaps though!

We get front end thumps on cutters.. but pure snow is a challenge! In general - it is kind of hard to make it snow in DC area! But we can!

Only to say the GFS sucks

Pages of extrapolation and weenie let down! I honestly think, 24 hours from now - we will still not know what the heck is going to happen... BUT we may be able to claim a trend!

NOPE! South is goes! This is slowly becoming apparent! We are not where that thing is going

Snow Shower activity increased (from what I can see) for Wednesday. I do not like where the Shortwave is coming ashore out west.. we will see.

Great summary! How I feel! If we continue to see general improvements at the major runs, we may be able to reel this one in! I think VA is probably bullseye, and I would be less confident if NC except NW NC! SW VA seems the gold spot no matter what to me!

With energy coming ashore below CA. Ya..

All is clear as mud. But in all seriousness, this stuff is what makes the hobby fun and frustrating at the same time. Nothing is set until the day after the storm.

It is my litmus test of whether I want to look at them first thing or after I am ready for the day! LOL

We can do better!!! Dreaming

I am not looking at another model this weekend after that Euro run! I AM LYING... Maybe late nights starting Sunday Night! WOW!

It seems to have precipitated on most weekends for the last several months! Something is probably going to happen! IN our back yard, not sure.. In college, my met professor said to look for repeating patterns within a day of each other every 7 days unless a huge atmospheric event was witnessed. I have found that to be somewhat true! 6 of the last 7 fridays have had precipitation! Many Saturdays as well...if not precip, a frontal passage has occurred. Seems consistent.

DT Thoughts

Oh no!!!! NO MAPS! LOL!

To the bank or the trash can

Does anyone even look at the other Euro runs? I only hear of the main runs still? Just curious - maybe wrong forum, but wondering what the latetest Euro says verses the overnight

GFS went to a rainer Tuesday!

Looking forward to seeing the kings nuts in your next post!

Some flurries.. even a few resting on the garbage cans as I brought them down the hill and set them on the curb in hopes that the wind does not relocate the trash that is inside them all over the street! 30/18 - I have shocked multiple things due to an indoor humidity of 25%!

December 5th rule

Only when it shows rain and a torch