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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes. I think we get our heaviest snow between 2 and 10pm, something like that.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    The media has been horrible with this storm.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    19 with light/moderate snow. 3 inches OTG, high ratios
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    17 with light snow. 2 inches otg so far.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    I just saw 2 flakes in Hyde Park. Woo-hoo. 19/10.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    Me too. It's awful.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    What about NWS Albany? IMO the most conservative office. Flakes will be flying in less than 12 hours and forecast is for 12-18 yet I'm still in a winter storm watch. Really?
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    Free pivotal weather does not have 06z and 18z runs of ECM or high resolution ECM. Other models yes.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    I think it's mainly that models have brought the better forcing north into our area.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes but it doesn't have 06z or 18z runs.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    It will come down fast and furious before any dry slot. Storm is moving slowly so most locations should see a foot before dry slot but it is a concern especially if Euro verifies.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    Euro is too tucked and we dryslot eventually. Nam would be a perfect position.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    It's QPF output and thermals are a joke most of the time.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    Using Kuchera it was 55, lol.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    That Euro map was 10:1 also. It should be at least 12:1 or higher by us for a good portion of storm. 8-10 with upside to 12 is what I am thinking right now for us.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    I think when all is said and done we will see 6+ but I'm not sure about a crush job.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    60 hours before the december storm everybody thought there was no way in hell the low could come that far north and the axis of heaviest snow would be Binghamton to Albany. Obviously that is not going to happen this time but there is still a chance of it coming a little further N and W.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    It was still much better than 18z.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    Considerably more north.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    Easily. I see all these detailed snow maps like its within 24 hours. First flakes don't fall in NYC for like 60 hours.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup, NWS Albany often talks about downsloping in the valleys.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    Horrible map. I would bet the mortgage NYC sees more than 3-5.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    GFS is garbage. V16 much more plausible. GFS gives NYC metro like .30 LE. Don't think thats happening. GFS ensembles well west of op.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    Nam at it's extended range has been better than GFS so here's hoping. That's a perfect position at hour 84.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    Woof.
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