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Vice-Regent

Weenie
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    931
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About Vice-Regent

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KWWD
  • Location:
    Cape May

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  1. Vice-Regent

    Tropical Storm Dorian

    Incredible stuff. The Euro and GFS before the upgrade have always struggled with these mesoscale features. Partly I feel is due to poor soundings and initialization data in this sparse region.
  2. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    The operational run too in a strange twist. Minus the sea level pressure.
  3. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    99L goes into the Shredder on the 18z GFS (You just can't make this stuff up).
  4. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    18z GFS is more less what he's looking for synoptically but there's simply nothing there. I don't believe it. This needs to establish a core soon or it's going to become a significant concern for many.
  5. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    Hubris can lead you into dire situations including not being prepared and driving a 8 billion population into a hothouse extinction. Nothing is set in stone in regards to this storm. People thought we would be flying around in cars at this point back in the 60s and 70s.
  6. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    Remember nobody does tropical like the SNE.
  7. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    New solutions on the table with 12z GFS. Significantly more negative tilt over the Great Lakes.
  8. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    The GFS has a tendency to sweep these TCs away too quickly and now we are seeing new solutions on the table. Still not very favorable for getting the Bahamas disturbance into the NE but an indication of the uncertainty ahead. However I suspect if the intensity modeling was correct it may have followed the Euro.
  9. Vice-Regent

    SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019

    You guys know how to do tropical. I miss the roaring 50s and 60s and I long for a 38' repeat.
  10. For whatever it's worth the paper references the late 21st century and not now.
  11. Good god... SLR and a change in TC climatology is the perfect storm for disaster.
  12. Vice-Regent

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Good news is that it has returned to some extents on the 18z GFS as a very discernible feature at 850mb. This thing is just waiting to unleash itself. Look at the upper levels too (very Bob-Like)
  13. Vice-Regent

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    These changes in the trough and ridge orientations and also where the TCs are forming is rather interesting. I am wondering if the Sub-Tropical Atlantic was the Main Development Region 30 million years ago or so and somewhat less active in the Pliocene (3 mya).
  14. Vice-Regent

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    We have the luxury of enjoying the Legacy GFS fantasy hurricanes courtesy of Levi Cowan @ tropicaltidbits. Let us hope for a opera of death right on cue. https://col.st/AoV2m RAMMB Geocolor (GOES-16)
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