CheeselandSkies

Still a watch per MKX site.

So strange. I went to UWGB and it was invariably snowier there than at home (Stoughton/Madison) except for 2007-08, my senior year, when we had some big storms over both areas (although GB area was less affected by the early Jan torch, so held on to its snowcover better).

Wow, this is starting to look big time (although unfortunately, not for SE MI...again). I doubt it can actually produce >6" of snow over the vast majority of WI, but just seeing it on a map is impressive. Little different than a rainy cutter, eh?

@madwx @Luftfeuchtigkeit

I think it was early January 2019, we had an Arctic outbreak where it was in the single digits either side of zero with bare ground. Puke.

Because guys are dumb. Although have seen women wearing skirts/dresses outside while it's in the single digits, but it's less common and they're usually (a) not outside for very long and (b) heavily bundled up top.

Something something sun angle yadda yadda.

We here over to Chicago probably have considerably more OTG.

It's also the 10th anniversary of the beginnings of GHD I. A short video I took from where I was living in Milwaukee at the time, notice how the cars are mostly clean due to the wind:

I need you to find me 11,780 inches of snow. BIG CONSEQUENCES if you don't!

My fiance's car parked across the street is mostly clean just from the wind we had with the snow. Only the ones parked in that part of the front lot in the building's "wind shadow" are completely covered.

So we go from a 975 MB MS River cutter to this?

Thundersnow reported in Darlington (SW WI) per a Facebook post.

Seems like that is an issue for us with every storm. I remember one storm (I think the winter before last) that was supposed to be a big dog for us, but we either busted the warning or just barely made criteria because the first few hours were lost to dry air resulting in either nothing or pixie dust flakes.

It's a tradeoff between raw numbers with the fluffier stuff and I think higher impacts with the wetter stuff. Harder to shovel and it sticks to your car tires and further reduces traction. The first notable accumulating snow we had (the one before Christmas which mostly melted by then) was wet and heavy, and I had to charge the hill out of my apartment building's parking lot about ten times praying my car wouldn't get stuck before I finally made it up to the road. Had the pedal to the metal, front wheels spinning like mad spraying snow everywhere, and moving at maybe 2 MPH. That, plus spinning out twice this winter on just the thin-packed layer left on secondary roads from snow events days earlier, prompted me to get new tires.

A quick question about ratios to make sure I'm understanding them right. A 10:1 ratio would mean you take the QPF and multiply it by 10 to get expected inches of snow, correct? In other words, 0.1" = 1"?

Encouraging to see some active severe weather seasons on those analogs, although not necessarily stellar from a Plains chaser perspective (apart from 1999 and 2008). 2017 wasn't ideal but not the worst of the lackluster half-decade plus that we've been in (tie between 2018 and 2020 IMO).

So it sounds like we needed a happy medium -NAO to get the last storm and this weekend's storm to stay stronger longer, without cutting too far west like this third storm is expected to?

This is the level of cold I can do without and at times don't really understand the enthusiasm for from some on here, but if it only lasts a few days I can take it.

At what point does @beavis1729 go full Cornholio?

FWIW, GFS (Pivotal) has most of WI getting 15" - 20" through 240 hours (depending on whether you use 10:1 or Kuchera). Euro only has 10:1 on the free version but it has 8"-9" with the exception of an inexplicable N-S screw zone from about Marengo, IL to Lake Winnebago. I think it's safe to say that, all-important details aside, the zzzzzzzzzz pattern is over for most of us.

I'll take a last 3/28 do-over without the early crudvection...and without the "Safer at Home" order issued like 3 days earlier.

I remember the thread for those. Also wasn't what he described basically all of Jan-Feb 2014?

It always weirds me out a little bit to see Canadians posting about storms that affect southern WI/northern IL (especially in the context of them being at risk for a rainer) because I think of Canada as this frigid place waaaaay far away to the north. I need to remember places like Windsor, London, Kitchener and Toronto are roughly on my latitude.