CheeselandSkies

My fiance's car parked across the street is mostly clean just from the wind we had with the snow. Only the ones parked in that part of the front lot in the building's "wind shadow" are completely covered.

So we go from a 975 MB MS River cutter to this?

Thundersnow reported in Darlington (SW WI) per a Facebook post.

Seems like that is an issue for us with every storm. I remember one storm (I think the winter before last) that was supposed to be a big dog for us, but we either busted the warning or just barely made criteria because the first few hours were lost to dry air resulting in either nothing or pixie dust flakes.

It's a tradeoff between raw numbers with the fluffier stuff and I think higher impacts with the wetter stuff. Harder to shovel and it sticks to your car tires and further reduces traction. The first notable accumulating snow we had (the one before Christmas which mostly melted by then) was wet and heavy, and I had to charge the hill out of my apartment building's parking lot about ten times praying my car wouldn't get stuck before I finally made it up to the road. Had the pedal to the metal, front wheels spinning like mad spraying snow everywhere, and moving at maybe 2 MPH. That, plus spinning out twice this winter on just the thin-packed layer left on secondary roads from snow events days earlier, prompted me to get new tires.

A quick question about ratios to make sure I'm understanding them right. A 10:1 ratio would mean you take the QPF and multiply it by 10 to get expected inches of snow, correct? In other words, 0.1" = 1"?

Encouraging to see some active severe weather seasons on those analogs, although not necessarily stellar from a Plains chaser perspective (apart from 1999 and 2008). 2017 wasn't ideal but not the worst of the lackluster half-decade plus that we've been in (tie between 2018 and 2020 IMO).

So it sounds like we needed a happy medium -NAO to get the last storm and this weekend's storm to stay stronger longer, without cutting too far west like this third storm is expected to?

This is the level of cold I can do without and at times don't really understand the enthusiasm for from some on here, but if it only lasts a few days I can take it.

At what point does @beavis1729 go full Cornholio?

FWIW, GFS (Pivotal) has most of WI getting 15" - 20" through 240 hours (depending on whether you use 10:1 or Kuchera). Euro only has 10:1 on the free version but it has 8"-9" with the exception of an inexplicable N-S screw zone from about Marengo, IL to Lake Winnebago. I think it's safe to say that, all-important details aside, the zzzzzzzzzz pattern is over for most of us.

I'll take a last 3/28 do-over without the early crudvection...and without the "Safer at Home" order issued like 3 days earlier.

I remember the thread for those. Also wasn't what he described basically all of Jan-Feb 2014?

It always weirds me out a little bit to see Canadians posting about storms that affect southern WI/northern IL (especially in the context of them being at risk for a rainer) because I think of Canada as this frigid place waaaaay far away to the north. I need to remember places like Windsor, London, Kitchener and Toronto are roughly on my latitude.

This is just at totally qualitative and unscientific observation but for as many complaints about this winter as there have been, this is my fiance and I's second winter in this apartment and I don't recall as much snow piled up on our balcony at any point during '19-'20 as there is now.

My fiance left for work shortly after I got home (she's doing a half day today) and her car was half-buried in drifts. Thank God this wasn't a wet, heavy snow. @Luftfeuchtigkeit bright out my window on the SW side.

So the ~150 hr Euro was right after all.

I always thought of northern Alabama as part of the Tennessee Valley region, is the Birmingham area too far south? As @jaxjagman pointed out, the Southeastern States forum tends to be dominated by Carolinas and perhaps Florida/coastal GA discussion. The heart of Dixie Alley seems to kind of get glossed over on this board apart from the huge events like 4/27/11.

Nice of La Nina to finally show up.

Felt like a real winter wonderland out there coming into work for the first time in a while. Quite a bit of blowing/drifting going on.

Maybe, just MAYBE the confluence will back off just a tad and this system can be what we all thought tonight's was going to be. Hey, at least we've gone from complaining about a zzzzz pattern with no systems to complaining about how the systems always downtrend from the medium range. That's progress...right?

IC getting buried while CR gets nada...sound about right @hlcater?

Great, might be a good day to run my dash mounted GoPro on my 2:50 AM commute into work.

Good, chip away at that severe drought area in the West. Chase season seems to be such a fine line between too dry = too much EML (everything cap busts) and too wet = not enough EML (storms go up in messy clusters at or before noon). Thankfully this Nina winter, despite its recent long dull stretch, does not seem to be trending toward the extreme Midwest dryness of 2011-'12.

Per radar, snow advancement into WI seems to have stalled in Lafayette/southern Grant Counties for now. *Edit: Kinda odd that DVN shows it pushing into southern Dane, but MKX doesn't. Must be virga.