CheeselandSkies

They've gotten bad since Rusty Kapela retired.

...although not according to the current modeling per @andyhb.

Amazing how the temperature gradient is so sharply defined east to west rather than north to south. At 12Z Sunday Macon, GA is 60 degrees while Waco, TX, roughly on the same latitude, is 12.

My reaction is 0:33-0:40:

So much for La Niña +TNI, -PDO magic, lol. Of course, they could easily be wrong at this range, but if ALL of them are doing it it's kind of worrisome. Guess this is why you haven't started the 2021 tornadoes/high risk thread yet.

I think @andyhb might be a little gun shy after starting this thread for 2020 on the first of the year, lol. Early indications are the typical La Nina duality of things looking rather ominous for Dixie Alley and perhaps the Ohio Valley and Lower Mississippi Valley, but less clear for the better chase country further west/north especially in the traditional chase "season" of May and the first half of June. Some thought 2007-'08 might be a good analog for this winter, which had already featured two fairly large outbreaks by this point in February which obviously hasn't happened, but all it takes it one as we saw in Alabama a couple weeks ago. Andy's posted some good analysis here and on other forums about why 2021 might favor the more active analogs (1999, 2008, 2011*) more so than the "dud" ones (2006, 2012, 2018, etc) but all we can do at this point is wait and watch. Won't be anything anytime soon with all the cold air dominating everywhere east of the Rockies, lol. *The usual caveat that the one day in particular we all remember that year for was so extreme it is HIGHLY unlikely to recur anytime soon, but never say never when it comes to the weather.

0:10 I legit thought that white car had been launched onto the cab of that truck for a moment, before realizing it was a car hauler.

Excuse me while I go punch a wall.

Visibility way down, can barely see the trees on the hill across the street. @madwx @Luftfeuchtigkeit

My commute home should be "interesting..." Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

Thought it was for all types of weather.

Shades of 2013-'14. My first winter back here after 3 years in Milwaukee (and first in Madison proper since childhood). With having a job that starts at 3 AM, having to brush/scrape snow or a least a thin layer of frost off all the windows of my car in single digits or colder every morning for like 9 weeks straight got real old. Garbage/recycling started to pile up because the trucks couldn't get to the Dumpsters at the back of the lot.

If it has to be cold...better than cold and boring!

In other words, back to our regularly scheduled programming.

Still a watch per MKX site.

So strange. I went to UWGB and it was invariably snowier there than at home (Stoughton/Madison) except for 2007-08, my senior year, when we had some big storms over both areas (although GB area was less affected by the early Jan torch, so held on to its snowcover better).

Wow, this is starting to look big time (although unfortunately, not for SE MI...again). I doubt it can actually produce >6" of snow over the vast majority of WI, but just seeing it on a map is impressive. Little different than a rainy cutter, eh?

@madwx @Luftfeuchtigkeit

I think it was early January 2019, we had an Arctic outbreak where it was in the single digits either side of zero with bare ground. Puke.

Because guys are dumb. Although have seen women wearing skirts/dresses outside while it's in the single digits, but it's less common and they're usually (a) not outside for very long and (b) heavily bundled up top.

Something something sun angle yadda yadda.

We here over to Chicago probably have considerably more OTG.

It's also the 10th anniversary of the beginnings of GHD I. A short video I took from where I was living in Milwaukee at the time, notice how the cars are mostly clean due to the wind:

I need you to find me 11,780 inches of snow. BIG CONSEQUENCES if you don't!