CheeselandSkies

Is it possible that the early next week storm is just an appetizer? lol. I was so impressed by that (not necessarily by snow totals, just the strength of the trough/sfc low in general and also interested in the potential in the coastal states), I didn't really bother to look beyond.

Andy, you still in Norman? About 2-3" there through 384 hours according to that run.

Remarkable, since it just doesn't stand out in my mind for sustained anomalous warmth like 1988 (I was too young to remember, but my parents do as that was the summer I got sick on a camping trip with my grandparents and they assumed it was heat-related at first, but I ended up having surgery to remove a [non-malignant] tumor at age 2), 1995 and 2012 do. Probably because around here you can be +10 to 15 in January-April, and October-December and it still feels cold to pleasant instead of "hot."

Yes, 12Zs backed off on things a bit but how could they not after the insane 06Z run (for GFS at least)? 972 mb over Memphis goes in the weenie run hall of fame.

Certainly not grasping at it, just mentioning it. Verbatim a lot of the runs suggest (heavy) rain if anything for most of us. I'd be fine with armchair chasing a winter Dixie outbreak.

Was just thinking, wasn't that storm yet another 11th hour collapse of what had been consistently modeled high-end totals? All it was was f**king cold.

Anything in the teleconnections that would support the powerhouse being shown on the last several runs of the GFS around the 1/9-10 timeframe? Location, type and ceiling of impacts all way up in the air at this range of course, but a system of that caliber would certainly be very interesting to track regardless.

Overachiever here in Madison due to changeover not occurring as quickly as expected. Totals won't be super impressive but it was ripping fatties for most of the morning. That and a loose dog on the westbound Beltline Highway (variously US 12/14/18/151 across the south edge of the city) made the commute a nightmare. https://www.wmtv15news.com/2023/12/28/dog-stops-traffic-beltline-literally/

Hey, at least the GFS is giving us fantasy range crush jobs now (for southern WI, still rain for Chicago).

Category 3, lol. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

https://people.com/al-michaels-wont-call-nfl-playoffs-for-nbc-amid-criticism-8415276

That'll do it.

Intercepted the Keota, IA EF4 back on March 31. I'll link to my post on StormTrack since I purged my attachments on here a few months ago (plus due to the limits I couldn't fit them all, anyway). https://stormtrack.org/community/threads/2023-03-31-reports-ar-ia-il-in-mo-ms-tn.32371/post-376146 Not sure if you're a member there, or if you can see the attachments if you're not. If not, my photos are on Flickr as well. https://flickr.com/photos/andywskies/albums/72157655308092622/

Yikes... Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

Now that I've finally caught a sig on my own, just to prove to myself that I can, thinking about joining a CoD chase tour in the spring.

That brought down a tree over the mouth of our driveway (I was living at home with my parents near Stoughton, WI at the time). My dad and I both took off work and it took us the entire day to clear the driveway using a John Deere 112 garden tractor with a snowblower attachment (single stage, so it couldn't throw that paste for shit) and a little Toro push snowblower. I have video, too but I killed my old YouTube channel. Maybe I'll reupload it next year for the 15th anniversary.

Hey, I prefer warmth (although that's in relative terms by Wisconsin winter standards), but I try not to troll.

Welp, we're already 1:1 on potential events:rug pulls on the season. Why does the GFS even go out to 384 hours if it's that bad at 120 hours?

GFS went from having the surface low over Indiana at FH126 to having it over Green Bay at FH084 on the 06Z run that just came in. If it was April, I'd love that trend.

Powerhouse on the 12Z/18Z GFS for next Saturday would cause winter wx issues here as well as threat down south. Good times.

00Z WRF-ARW would be...problematic, to say the least across LA/MS. Consistent with its previous (12Z) run. HRRR looks pretty rough too, has uptrended somewhat from earlier runs.

Yeah, a couple of those runs with the big western trough hinted at the potential for something more into the Midwest/Ohio Valley region in mid-November (something like 2002, 2005 or 2013) but nothing really came to fruition.

SPC starting to hint at it but exactly when/where/ceiling all still quite uncertain at this point. *Edit: Just noticed this is yesterday's 4-8, they're waiting quite a bit longer than usual to release today's.

Until someone explained it to me, whenever I would see that name posted I would think of former NFL cornerback Dominique Rogers-Cromartie because that's the only place I'd previously seen/heard that name.