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CheeselandSkies

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Everything posted by CheeselandSkies

  1. CheeselandSkies
    Yeah, agreed cool drought is the worst, but was stoked for a 1995-esque "hot and active" and we just haven't gotten there.
  2. CheeselandSkies
    Here in Madison we were on the very northern fringe of Monday's complex; no severe weather (and barely any rain, which is fine given how much we got in the preceding couple of days) but like on June 24th, the setting sun combined with the departing storm clouds illuminated the whole sky pinkish-orange, as intracloud lightning flashed. Some people with a view to the east even caught the lightning with a large, horizon-spanning rainbow.
  3. CheeselandSkies
    Kieler damage was indeed an EF1 that touched down for 1 minute (so not as strong as I thought). Evansville not confirmed despite how low to the ground the funnel looked in the video.
  4. CheeselandSkies
    Pretty substantial structural damage at a supper club and a few nearby buildings near Kieler, WI. Wouldn't be surprised if that turns out to have been a brief but strong spin-up. Also at work we have viewer-submitted video of what certainly appears to be a tornado (although it wasn't tagged as "confirmed" at the time) near Evansville (same town that was affected by the record-breaking early February EF2).
  5. CheeselandSkies
    Surprised none of 4/9/15, 6/22/15 and '16, 8/9/21, 3/31/23 or 7/12/23 topped that list.
  6. CheeselandSkies
    Looks like possible tornado just north of Stockton, IL.
  7. CheeselandSkies
    Earlier northward trend to the HRRR runs seems to have been a mirage; will get clipped at most here in Madison, and that only if that northernmost "kink" in the bow over Lafayette/Green Counties can surge northeastward.
  8. CheeselandSkies
    More recent runs of the HRRR ticking north a bit... Sent from my Pixel 8 using Tapatalk
  9. CheeselandSkies
    Majority of CAM solutions are leaning toward a miss south for most of Wisconsin, thus SPC having the Enhanced where it is.
  10. CheeselandSkies
    Furthermore, tomorrow seems like the kind of pattern that has historically supported sneaky S WI/N IL summer sig events...if everything lines up just right. Currently, none of the 33-37 hour CAM solutions really suggest such, but as we know...
  11. CheeselandSkies
    SPC's 13Z outlook is a case study in "the struggle is real." Found my one plant stand blown over again by the round we got this morning; and we got so much rain between the multiple rounds since yesterday evening that any in pots lacking drain holes were being drowned in water. HRRR thinks we should get in on some more boomers this aft/eve.
  12. CheeselandSkies
    Packing a decent punch here despite no longer being warned. Twice blown over one of the plant stands on my balcony. #wewillrebuild
  13. CheeselandSkies
    Pretty sure none of the CAMs I usually check on a regular basis (HRRR, 3K NAM, FV3) accurately resolved the MCS currently passing through southern Wisconsin.
  14. CheeselandSkies
    Well, I hope 12Z 3K NAM is off since it has the next three days being a big fat nothingburger for southern WI.
  15. CheeselandSkies
  16. CheeselandSkies
    Catching up on some uploads:
  17. CheeselandSkies
    One year ago today: Spring/summer 2024 has featured relatively more storms (and associated tornadoes) than 2023, but last year was far kinder to me as far as actually seeing them.
  18. CheeselandSkies
    Don't want to jinx it but I'm appreciating the lack of >200 AQI days thus far.
  19. CheeselandSkies
    Per the webcam at Cassville, the Mississippi River is finally going down a bit. It was certainly high on the 1st when I headed out to catch the Canadian Pacific Railway's restored steam locomotive on its return trip from a tri-national tour special that began in April.
  20. CheeselandSkies
    Now highlights for Day 3, 4, 5 covering various parts of MN/IA/WI/IL/IN.
  21. CheeselandSkies
    SPC put out a pretty large Day 5 areal highlight this morning, for a good chunk of MN/WI. I'm thinking this is mostly for bowing MCS possibility Sunday night.
  22. CheeselandSkies
    Surprised only three reports on the SPC page. Not as prolific as I expected, but what did occur was definitely impressive. From longtime chaser Dan Robinson:
  23. CheeselandSkies
    Beryl proved an efficient producer yesterday, and is expected to remain so today. 10%/Enh risk now up for a portion of the western OH Valley.
  24. CheeselandSkies
    Beryl proving to be an efficient tornado producer. CAM solutions yesterday hinted at this, and SPC responded by introducing a (somewhat unusual for TC-driven events) 10% area.
  25. CheeselandSkies
    Surprised MKX is so bullish on rain chances tonight/tomorrow morning since both HRRR and 3KM NAM have southern WI dry during that period.
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