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Everything posted by CheeselandSkies
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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL GRIMES...CENTRAL MADISON AND NORTHWESTERN WALKER COUNTIES... At 932 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Madisonville, moving northeast at 40 mph.
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If somebody ever resurrects the "Tornado Video Classics" video series (although there's so much footage taken now, it'd be a beast to sort out the best), this needs to be in it. Reminds of one that was in one of the original installments, taken from a helicopter as a multi-vortex tornado ripped trees out of the ground and hurled them through the air.
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KGRK not destroyed per photo relayed on twitter by @andyhb, but data not accessible.
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March 2022 General Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Saw my first robin(s, 2 actually) of spring 2022 today. A couple weeks earlier than some recent years. -
Houston area got several significant tornadoes (including an F4 and an F3 each with a path length of at least 30 miles) early on in the multi-day outbreak of November 1992.
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SPC mentioned that as a possible limiting factor in their discussion at 13Z. Probably why they haven't gone 15% hatched MDT for tornadoes yet, given how ominous some of the HRRR sim ref/UH maps have been.
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March 2022 General Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Latest NAM gets us up to 68 Monday in the warm sector of a surface low near the Twin Cities. Seems like there ought to be some storms/severe weather chances with a pattern like that, but dewpoints are in the low 40s. Going to have to armchair chase Texas. -
The modeled environments looked pretty ominous at one point (at least on the GFS, and it was pretty consistent with that for quite a few runs) but have downtrended a bit as the event gets closer and I wouldn't say support a high risk type setup at this juncture. Not to say they couldn't trend back in the other direction.
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March 2022 General Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Been so focused on the forecasts for the nice weather yesterday and the wintry mix/potential snow for tomorrow, I completely forgot it was supposed to rain today. -
March 2022 General Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
From MKX: Love it. This is spring. Not this dry and boring crap we have had most of the last few years. -
March 2022 General Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
As noted many times, GFS has sucked all winter especially with southern stream snow threats, but I thought it did pretty well over quite a long lead time with the general timing and placement of the March 5th severe event as well as the one coming up for this Friday (although obviously not good for crucial details like 0-3KM cape that are critical for event magnitude). Of course, I wasn't really comparing it to the Euro or other models, so it's possible they did equally well, or better. -
March 2022 General Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Maybe just me, but I'd call the day the EF4 hits the "Sayonara, winter" day... -
Winter 2021-22 Complaint/Banter Thread
CheeselandSkies replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I think I heard this story once before, although the date on the article is current. So did Casey just abandon it on some random Kansas farm and the owner didn't notice for 10 years? -
2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Early March slight risk in Iowa with $4 gas and we get a conga line... maybe I'll sit this year out after all. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk -
Gettin' salty in here. Somebody was overzealous treating the roads...as usual.
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2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
You'd think one of these years I'd learn to throw climo out the window and just pay attention to the damn 3km CAPE map. Even so, sounds like it was a tough chase for most and with few exceptions, the best/clearest footage of the tornadoes came from local yahoos who had way too close calls. -
March 2022 General Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yesterday/last night was the desperately needed salt-washer that we never really got all of March and April last year. Problem is, it's going to snow again. -
Strong tornadoes to 4" of snow in less than 60 hours...welcome to March.
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2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Seven, there was one fatality in the Chariton tornado as well. -
2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Six fatalities in Winterset tornado and one in Chariton per WHO-13. -
2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Not under a warning, but quite gusty here as the line moves in. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk -
2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Nice downpour ongoing here, first thunder of the year for me since I missed hearing it during that "thundersleet" a few weeks ago. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk -
2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
01Z SPC outlook expanded the enhanced risk for wind into more of far SW/SC WI as well as NW/NC IL. The long-lived tornadic cell already appears to be shrinking/disorganizing a little bit due to sunset. The MS River can act as a brick wall for severe convection even into late May, so we'll see. -
2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
CheeselandSkies replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Right?! Apparently I still haven't learned that they produce way better than May/June nowadays.