Wouldn't mind an evolution like late Feb. 2017. Couple of gorgeous days, followed by kitchen sink winter storm, followed by another warmup with severe weather. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
Over the last week or so where we've gotten a couple of those DAB snows where the city then puts down about 1/4" of salt powder. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
I know, right? But my point was, the tweet referenced the GFS, so it seems to be flipping from run to run, which is not exactly unexpected at the ranges we're talking about.
18Z GFS basically has single digits either side of 0 sitting over WI through the end of the run with only brief respites. Best we can do is mid-20s while 50s push to the ND/SD border just shy of 200 hours.
I was living in Milwaukee the winter of 2012-'13 and don't remember much of anything happening until February that winter. Now that you remind me though, my parents did have some beautiful pictures of snow in their backyard from shortly before Christmas that year.
GHD I also nailed southern WI though, while GHD II was largely a miss south which this one will be too barring a dramatic 11th hour NW trend which as others have mentioned seems to no longer be a thing. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
That's the last December big dog in my memory. About 10"-12" of heart attack paste (imagine the totals with a better ratio!) where I was living just outside of Stoughton, WI at the time. Brought down a tree limb across the top of our driveway, my dad and I both took off work and spent the entire day clearing the driveway.
979.8 MB pressure recorded at Madison with this storm.
Op GFS seems to love cold in the long range for some reason but as @madwx posted in the other thread, there is some other support for this although probably won't verify as extreme as depicted here.
I'm not a met, I work behind the scenes for a local TV station here in Madison.
*Edit: I see why he did that now with those Euro maps, I was looking at the GFS which gave us 11" Kuchera on the latest run.
Chief met at my employer being really hush hush with this, he even lowered pops on the 7-day this morning. One of our other mets is an open snow weenie so we'll see what he does.