SRRTA22

Severe thunderstorm warning here. Pretty good looking gust front on TEWR

What I'd do to be where you are man

High of 95 here in Jersey City, highest dewpoint topped out at 74 Currently 93/72/102 The usual spots are definitely not dropping below 80 tonight

Id rather break dewpoint records at this point, even though I absolutely hate it..but I love convection...ying/yang

I will call that bluff every single time. Theres no way anyone actually enjoys that type of heat besides Forky

Its still a littttle bit chilly here in Jersey City with that wind. Im savoring every moment of it too

Always love seeing rclabs posts...full of wit and dry humor but knowledge as well

I look at PoP like i do svr wx risks.. Ie "15% of seeing dmg winds within a 25 mi radius" Ill never forget the tornado that happened in Nj on a day that was generally mostly sunny with iso tstorms (no svr risk outlined by spc) Weather will do what it wants

Good storms are going to make it to the hudson river alright... Just not in Jersey lol

I cant count how many times ive seen the GFS do a hook into the coast with an offshore low. Every. Year. They dont call it the happy hour gfs for no reason haha

18z GFS said get the ark ready

Welp that failed

latest HRRR and NAM have more widely scattered convection developing across the metro in the next 1-3 hours from the convection to the north. See what happens. Also have an outflow boundary in the area from the storms to our south so I definitely agree that the metro will see some action in the next few hours (Nyc west)

Looks like a weak? microburst has occurred with the storm just west of NYC near Harrison,NJ per TEWR radar

SPC has issued a Slight risk for our area

Our best events always seem to happen on marginal svr days

That line has embedded rotations and a new warning has been issued for NE NJ which has a TOR possible attached to it SPC has also issued a severe thunderstorm watch for NYC metro The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut Delaware New Jersey Southern New York Far Eastern Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will move east-southeastward toward New Jersey and southern New York including the New York City vicinity, with the strongest storms capable of wind damage and marginally severe hail.

SUMMARY...A few stronger storms will continue shifting eastward across the Delaware Valley and southeastern Pennsylvania into New Jerse and the New York City area this afternoon. Locally strong/gusty winds are expected. A WW may be considered. DISCUSSION...Latest radar Loop shows a area of thunderstorms moving slowly eastward across eastern Pennsylvania and into northwestern New Jersey at this time. A few stronger storms have evolved -- aided by 1000 to 1500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE as boundary-layer heating occurs beneath cool air aloft/steep lapse rates in conjunction with the vort max/short-wave trough crossing the central Appalachians. While lower tropospheric flow remains rather weak, moderate westerly mid-level flow is sufficient to support multicell-type organization, and thus potential for gusty winds capable of minor damage -- primarily limited to tree damage. As storms continue shifting eastward, they will begin affecting western fringes of the New York City metro area in the next 1 to 2 hours.

Looks like NYC gets their storms today. Considerably more surface CAPE compared to yesterday at around 1500-2000 j/kg hudson river west and around 500-1000 j/kg east of the hudson. Less shear but still enough for some iso damg gusts. Nice complex of storms to our west should maintain its way through long island.

Yesterday couldve been a big deal in the metro. That was a pretty intense complex of storms.

SPC issued a marginal risk for NYC Looks meh but we usually get good storms in marginal set ups haha

Bringing this to banter. A substantial size asteroid hit Russia back in like 2013... The fact of the matter is...theres ALOT of rocks, that can hit us undetected...Jupiter has been our saving grace for so long its not even funny

It's already crashed. Right into the Indian Ocean. People reported seeing it low in altitude over the middle-east. Trending on twitter now

It was either over or across the newark bay and moving fast to the southeast which would be left in the picture. These cells were weird...they looked like passing showers on radar, but looked really convective in person with some nice structures

I just saw the same thing at 7:20 PM we had a storm move in which produced very small hail. I noticed a very noticeable lowering towards the west around the newark bay. Thats when i got a better view and saw a cone shaped cloud. I took a photo but is really low quality so my apologies in advance. Couldn't tell if it was rotating as Im blind as a bat. It's probably nothing but then again, it really did have that look...Don't think we'll ever know