George BM

CLASSIC DCAing. 58F for the high today. IAD hit 57F.

I'm -4 today.

18z GFS with a high of 49F at KDCA on Sunday. If DCA stays below 50F I'll run into a sports bar or a pub in an Elsa dress and start throwing slushy ice up in the air playing in the slush.

Meanwhile there is quite the disagreement in surface temps/dewpts locally tomorrow afternoon. Some CAMs w/ temps near 80 and dewpoints well into the 60s(even approaching 70F). The 3kmNAM says temps/dewpts in the 50s. I'd definitely feel better about severe chances in the Fredericksburg - RIC corridor tomorrow. I was actually a little bit surprised to see the SLGT for tomorrow over us instead of to our south. Just my amateur 2 cents. We'll see what actually transpires over the next 24-36 hours, of course.

There were tornadic supercells that developed in the WVA panhandle and moved along/near the 1-70 corridor in northern MD. Doesn't mean there will be multiple tornadoes in VA tomorrow, of course. Just that conditions look favorable, probably just to our south.

That one looks microbursty. It's warned for 80 mph gusts and golf ball sized hail.

Sorry Fairfax and Prince William county weenies.

I've noticed two distinct noises that the cicadas make. The "distant police siren" noise and the louder "electric-like" noise that we are more accustomed to hearing annually. My backyard *crabapple?* tree seems to be a local jackpot of the "electric-like" noise cicadas. Many cicadas are flying around, especially in that tree. I'd guesstimate that cicada rates are around 1-2+ cicadas/ cubic meter. Hopefully I can get into the 2-3+ C/m^3 stuff. Note: I'm not entirely sure that it's a crabapple tree. I'm bad at tree types.

We've had a total of two SLGT risk days so far this year. (March 28th, May 4th)

Hahaha. I just observed this minutes ago myself.

I don't know whether it's because I was a little kid the last time they came out and, as a result, didn't pay much attention to the noise. But I never noticed this level of noise in 2004. I can hear them from inside the house now.

Bold prediction: DCA ends May with above average rainfall.

@H2O 21 must feel great. Happy birthday and safe drinking!

There's a little bit of smoke aloft in the air. Just enough to give the sun and sky that smoky look that you've noticed but haven't posted about because it isn't obvious enough , unlike last September. The gust front moving through from ESE to WNW could have wind gusts up to 25mph.

Looking goodly. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu May 20 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A non-tropical low pressure system is located about 800 miles east of Bermuda. The low is expected to develop gale-force winds later today while it moves generally northward. The low is then forecast to move westward and southwestward over warmer waters tonight and Friday, and it will likely become a subtropical cyclone near and to the northeast of Bermuda on Friday. The system is expected to move toward the north and northeast into a more hostile environment by late Sunday into Monday. For more information on this developing low pressure area, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center and forecast products issued by the Bermuda Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Forecaster Beven

This May has been scores better than last May. I've really appreciated the upper 40s much of this month during my early morning runs. Down to 46F again at IAD earlier.

UPDATE: The mass emergence has commenced on my three maple trees. I even felt a drop of liquid when I was under one of the trees. The storm is here!

And now I've seen my first adult cicada. They are much smaller than the black/green locusts we see here annually. #Ontheboard How often are you supposed to clear your cicada boards? Daily? Weekly? Every other day?

Reading this sentence makes me picture a fully loaded C-5A/B Galaxy take off w/ the TF-39 engines screeching and screaming bloody murder lugging the heavy bird off of the ground.

I'm finally seeing the exoskeletons on my maple tree in the front yard. Around 5-7 in total.

I mean he IS the reaper. What do you expect?

... + a strong EML + swift deep-layer (400-750mb) flow at heat dome periphery = unusually high dopamine levels in severewx weenies.

IAD down to 39F earlier this morning.

Update: Okay so somehow I actually felt more energetic than usual for my morning run. It probably had to do with the greater than usual amount of water I drank yesterday afternoon and evening after the shot. Currently being over 17 hours post shot, other than the pain at the injection site that you would expect with a needle going through your muscles, no real side effects.