George BM

Finally a flush hit for you... In all seriousness I hope the damage isn't too bad there.

Awesome! Are you getting much rain?

SEL1 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 511 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 530 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Central and eastern Maryland New Jersey Southeastern Pennsylvania Northeastern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 530 PM until 1100 PM EST. THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...and DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north northeast of Allentown PA to 50 miles southeast of Washington DC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.

STW now out.

Hmmm... Dulles is up to 70F now which is higher than CAMs had the temperature reaching. The dewpoint is a little bit low though at 57F.

We've been Slighted in much of the region east of the mountains. ..LOWER GREAT LAKES TO MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOWER MI INTO WESTERN OH WITH A HISTORY OF WIDESPREAD STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS. THIS INITIAL ACTIVITY MAY STRUGGLE TO FURTHER INTENSIFY OWING TO BOUNDARY-LAYER DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 50S WITHIN A NARROW SPATIAL CORRIDOR AHEAD OF THIS CONVECTION. IT SHOULD EVENTUALLY OUTPACE THIS NARROW WEDGE OF SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY AS IT SPREADS EAST/NORTH OF LAKE ERIE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. A MORE PRONOUNCED SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND 21-23Z FROM CENTRAL NY TO CENTRAL VA AND SWEEP EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND NEW ENGLAND COAST THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT WITHIN AN INTENSE SHEAR/MINIMALLY BUOYANT ENVIRONMENT. THIS SQUALL SHOULD DEVELOP AS THE ROBUST COLD FRONT IMPINGES ON LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTING NORTH FROM THE CAROLINAS/SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST. BETWEEN 00-03Z, MID 50S BOUNDARY-LAYER DEW POINTS SHOULD REACH AS FAR NORTH AS EASTERN PA INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS. WHILE LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL PROBABLY REMAIN WEAKER RELATIVE TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION, THE COMPARATIVELY RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD COMPENSATE. IT IS PLAUSIBLE THAT LIGHTNING GENERATION MAY BE CONFINED TO AREAS FARTHER NORTH AMID SCANT ELEVATED BUOYANCY AND GREATER LARGE-SCALE ASCENT. NEVERTHELESS, THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-TOPPED SQUALL LINE AMID 50-60 KT 925-MB WINDS SUGGEST STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE EVEN IN THE ABSENCE OF LIGHTNING. AS SUCH, THIS REGION HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO SLIGHT RISK. ..GRAMS/DEAN.. 11/15/2020

Curious George question: @losetoa6Have you ever raced with any of your daughters in the car before?

From north and northwest... Note: @losetoa6 is probably over an inch as of this post but not by much. To the metros... To the south and southeast... ... All is in balance. Just how everything is supposed to be in the year we call twenty-twenty. However, everything equals out over time. North and west will get theirs... perhaps in time for winter. Snow and ice will rule the landscape with an icy scepter in the north and west burbs while 33-degree despair inducing rains will fall across the south and east burbs giving Mr. Reaper all-time record high stonks, turning the tides of the optimism of active weather weenies to the north and west. ... OR, we continue this persistence into the winter and @CAPE will get his beach blizzard along with the south and east gang in January with the one good winter event of the season... Yeah that sounds more accurate... REEEEEEEEE!

What would you guesstimate the heaviest snowfall rates were at your location in inches/hr? ETA: Also, congrats in advance on your rain jackpot over the next 24 hours.

IAD has hit 77F now.

IAD has gotten up to 76F now breaking the record of 75F for today.

Yeah. Just wait until February... and also, prior to that, mid/late December.

Eh. Let it be warm/ slightly humid now. It will get cold enough eventually. Climatology will guarantee that it does EVEN if it remains above average. I'm just soaking it in.

Long November nights and clear skies w/ calm winds = 38F at IAD now after a high of 74F yesterday.

Umm... Dulles just gusted up to 48kts.

A wild Wind Advisory has appeared. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 558 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2020 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ028-031-053-054-505-506- WVZ052-053-020700- /O.EXB.KLWX.WI.Y.0013.201102T1100Z-201102T1700Z/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll- Northern Baltimore-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Frederick VA-Clarke-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Washington, Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Winchester, Berryville, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 558 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO NOON EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, central and northern Maryland, northern Virginia and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From 6 AM to noon EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$

BWI: 50.2" DCA: 36.7" IAD: 51.1" RIC: 27.2" Tiebreaker (SBY): 28.8"

The second Sunday in March.

5pm sunsets are suddenly here.

Storm is coming.

Yeah. Not a soul at my house yet as of 8:46pm. I usually get between 20 and 40 treat-or-trickers a year. I'm feeling really dumb buying two bags of candy. (~90 pieces of various chocolate candy total)

IAD just hit 32F.

IAD just hit 32F.

Up to 61F here with light rain still falling.