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RDRY

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  1. RDRY
    The only model that showed anything close to warning snows in western Mass was the 12z GFS, with ensuing model runs trending further east. But the NWS just issued a WS Watch. Uh ....
  2. RDRY
    Still seems like extreme western Mass is fringed at best.
  3. RDRY
    Yeah, but 240.
  4. RDRY
    May snow showers kill May flowers.
  5. RDRY
    Severe storms here in Lenox, with a temp of 40. Bizarre.
  6. RDRY
    All sleet in Lenox. Not budging.
  7. RDRY
    I don't check the ensembles, but isn't the operational more reliable in the shorter-term?
  8. RDRY
    GFS has pulled a few coups this season, assuming the Dr. No mantle. It has to be factored in right now -- it's being incredibly consistent with this storm.
  9. RDRY
    That's mean. Because of their ownership foibles, the perception around the league is that they're the Knicks. But they actually have a very solid, balanced team this year.
  10. RDRY
    That lead energy is going to be there and it's going to rob the system behind it of moisture/dynamics. So, two things need to happen: 1) The lead energy needs to speed up and move out quicker (not really happening on the 12z GFS). 2) The two vorts behind it need to sync up cleaner, with the northern vort diving down (that clearly is happening).
  11. RDRY
    They seem to have similar evolutions regarding northern stream interaction -- the northern energy lags behind on all of them.
  12. RDRY
    The models aren't "guessing." In fact, there's a relatively solid consensus among the major globals.
  13. RDRY
    Remarkably consistent incremental westward shifts on last 4 GFS runs.
  14. RDRY
    Big storm … yeah. It's Gulf Coast evolution is straight out of an ice age.
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