The high-res'es like to jump around the low signature. Precip field looks similar to 18z, though definitely a smidge south which could really help the city.
RGEM is an absurd weather model -- it had its 15 minutes of fame several winters back, and now resides in Snookyville. This low is not driving heavy precip halfway through Vermont and New Hampshire.
I wonder if it would be preferable to have super-accurate forecast models (say, 5-day forecasts being as reliable as current 1-day forecasts). Definitely be a lot fewer posts here.