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RDRY

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Everything posted by RDRY

  1. RDRY
    Major fringe job by the Euro up in NW Mass. Looks like a quick hit from the initial fronto band, then the dry slot and 20 hours of weak echoes.
  2. RDRY
    Look at the huge difference in general intensity from 12z to 18z.
  3. RDRY
    The 3k is so hypersensitive -- it can go from 1.5 QPF to 0.3 and back to 1.5 in three runs. Right up to gameday.
  4. RDRY
    So now the GFS, which has been paltry for the Berks for days, has more than the Euro.
  5. RDRY
    Same issue in the Berks.
  6. RDRY
    Those are still a thing?
  7. RDRY
    Now go make your forecast, and be right!
  8. RDRY
    A step back in eastern NY/western MA with the system a bit east of 12z.
  9. RDRY
    Weighing the GFS?
  10. RDRY
    Seems this way for most significant coastals. GFS is progressive with poor dynamics run after run until inside 48 hours.
  11. RDRY
    The surface low moves like 50 miles in 24 hours on the 12k. Insane.
  12. RDRY
    WMA
  13. RDRY
    That damn dry slot just roars through. Need a high to the northwest to hold that band in place. It's a big void up there.
  14. RDRY
    No surprise on the huge NAM jump west and north -- it chased the offshore precip last run .
  15. RDRY
    Jeez. With that look, hard to see central NE getting skunked.
  16. RDRY
    NAM likely focusing the low development too far east. Probably will correct in subsequent run(s).
  17. RDRY
    Has a storm ever occluded faster than this one? It's a shredded mess from the word "go."
  18. RDRY
    Lower heights ahead of it already on GFS.
  19. RDRY
    It's lifted northeast on at least the past two NAM runs, with heights rising accordingly along the coast. Need to keep that going.
  20. RDRY
    The latest Ukie was well north.
  21. RDRY
    Model chaos. Par for the course at this lead time.
  22. RDRY
    Looks awful. Few slushy inches for the immediate coast, then it's out of here. Only area with a decent hit is eastern Massachusetts.
  23. RDRY
    Heh. Just thought that was the perfect representation of model chaos.
  24. RDRY
    NYC GFS -- 7-8 GGEM -- 24-26
  25. RDRY
    Still skunked up here. Couple of weak bands fly through.
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