Jump to content

RDRY

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    686

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by RDRY

  1. RDRY
    Hmm. Looking at these latest runs, maybe those NWS mets know what they're doing.
  2. RDRY
    Yay, Berks. One more tic west and they're good to go. Funny seeing the GFS being the stronger, western outlier. It typically is nudging west toward consensus at this lead time.
  3. RDRY
    RGEM track would certainly work for these parts (Berks), though the westward precip expansion seems limited. Expand it a bit and dynamics should sufficiently cool the column.
  4. RDRY
    I still can't believe a Winter Storm Watch was issued this afternoon for western Mass. Based on what? It should be canceled.
  5. RDRY
    I don't see how any significant banding gets to western Mass on any recent model depiction outside the 12z GFS.
  6. RDRY
    The band would have to set up WAY north and west of most recent model runs.
  7. RDRY
    And a somewhat early issuance as well. This will be interesting to watch unfold. Meteorology over modelogy?
  8. RDRY
    The only model that showed anything close to warning snows in western Mass was the 12z GFS, with ensuing model runs trending further east. But the NWS just issued a WS Watch. Uh ....
  9. RDRY
    Still seems like extreme western Mass is fringed at best.
  10. RDRY
    Yeah, but 240.
  11. RDRY
    May snow showers kill May flowers.
  12. RDRY
    Severe storms here in Lenox, with a temp of 40. Bizarre.
  13. RDRY
    All sleet in Lenox. Not budging.
  14. RDRY
    I don't check the ensembles, but isn't the operational more reliable in the shorter-term?
  15. RDRY
    GFS has pulled a few coups this season, assuming the Dr. No mantle. It has to be factored in right now -- it's being incredibly consistent with this storm.
  16. RDRY
    That's mean. Because of their ownership foibles, the perception around the league is that they're the Knicks. But they actually have a very solid, balanced team this year.
  17. RDRY
    Cespedes does not approve.
  18. RDRY
  19. RDRY
    The 0z CMC had a closed low near the benchmark at 108 (even though it escaped east) -- this run has it open and further east. This run is worse. Am I wrong? I'm probably wrong.
  20. RDRY
    That lead energy is going to be there and it's going to rob the system behind it of moisture/dynamics. So, two things need to happen: 1) The lead energy needs to speed up and move out quicker (not really happening on the 12z GFS). 2) The two vorts behind it need to sync up cleaner, with the northern vort diving down (that clearly is happening).
  21. RDRY
    At hour 60, the NAM is at least trying to sync the main precip with the northern energy, but then it escapes and jumps to a low off South Carolina at 63 -- which is game over. I suppose there's still time for the models to follow through with that initial linkage, but it's running out fast.
  22. RDRY
    They seem to have similar evolutions regarding northern stream interaction -- the northern energy lags behind on all of them.
  23. RDRY
    The models aren't "guessing." In fact, there's a relatively solid consensus among the major globals.
  24. RDRY
    Remarkably consistent incremental westward shifts on last 4 GFS runs.
  25. RDRY
    if you wanna laugh look at what the JMA does between 120 and 144 on TT. blows up and retrogades
×
×
  • Create New...