Newman

The 12z GEFS just shifted significantly further north with a much lower snowfall mean for the entire area

Big time changes on the GEFS

The GFS coming in with it's most north and warm run yet. And as I suspected, it's weaker as well. The 12z CMC coming in south from it's previous runs though, almost lining up with the GFS

I'm heading back west on Saturday morning, just in time to miss the first big east coast snow in 2 years... Helped my dad pull the snowblower out and gas it up yesterday. Berks and the LHV usually does well in these types of storms, in fact even though we're still days away I wouldn't be surprised if they "jackpot" with heavier totals. All speculation as of now. One thing I've noticed just glancing at the models is there seems to be a cap on totals with this. A relatively quickly moving system so despite being a STJ brewed storm, there won't be much time to precipitate absurd amounts. 12-15" max type of storm, which is still great especially after the past few winters. GFS has obviously been trending much further north with Confluence in SE Canada retreating further north. Euro is better, CMC worse. Seems like a classic EC storm progression leading up! If I had to take a crack at where the heaviest band sets up, I'd say Northern Berks up through Lehigh, Schuylkill, Carbon, Monroe... That general area. I do believe amplification and a warmer solution is much more probable compared to getting a whiff south

Yep heading back to Wyoming after the New Year! It's been a good time back in PA, but I'm ready to be back in WY with a lot less people and more snow lol

The roads are absolutely horrible around Reading and Allentown, lots of ponding and flooding going on

KLAR got down to -12° it looks like, quite the cold pool that settled into the valley overnight with added benefit from some of the snow around

Laramie regional AP broke daily record highs for 4 straight days this week 12/18-12/21 with an outside shot at 5 straight tomorrow

One of my buddies in Leesburg sent me a pic at 4am with what looked like only a dusting. I'm not familiar with the VA/MD topography too much, but that's pretty wild that only a short ways to his east many saw 1.5-2". Even west in Round Hill, VA has a report of 1.5. Anyone else in Leesburg can confirm?

Dad sent me a photo of the snow in Fleetwood, about 1" on the measuring board, 1.5" on cars/deck

NAM is actually pretty impressive for the storm Monday regarding the *possible* snow on the backside

Currently got some snow falling and stickage in Laramie, NWS forecasting 1-2" here through the evening

I'm flying back to Denver tomorrow morning and will be in at 8am, I'm hoping 287 back to Laramie isn't closed. It looks like I-80 between Cheyenne and Laramie is currently closed

We ended up with maybe 0.5-1" in Laramie proper this morning before everything melted quickly. Expecting another snow this coming Friday, probably 2-6" in town

Just saw that since a month ago October 18th, KRDG has only seen 0.21" of precip and since November 1st, 0.01" which just happened last night before midnight. That number will go up as I'm sure more fell after midnight. But I was unaware of the extremely dry late fall SE PA has seen. Similarly, we haven't seen any measurable precip since October 28th, but then again that's to be expected out here. I haven't been following along with winter forecasts and what not, been too busy with grad school. But I'd imagine things are going to be much much different this winter compared to last. A more busy STJ is hopefully in the cards with El Nino in place. The question is... how much has the atmosphere responded to this huge SST change and how much lingering Nina effects are there?

Not sure exactly how much Estes Park got, but we lost power this morning at the cabin we're staying at for a few hours. Probably 8-10" range total. Had like 3-4" yesterday and 5-7" overnight

I'll be in Estes Park for the weekend, NWS calling for 6-8 which sounds reasonable. Probably won't be going up into RMNP sadly. Denver looking like 8-12

You hear nothing on the big news stations except the Maine and Israel situations. Mind you, those are big news stories in and of themselves. But this is a huge natural disaster just south of us and there's NO coverage at all. The images and videos coming out are just insane

Just checked and Acapulco has an estimated population of over 1 million people in 2023. For reference, there's only 9 cities in the US with a higher population. This is bad. Just incredible RI

We received our first snow of the season this evening out here in SE Wyoming. About 2" or so in the grass, very pretty and already more than I saw the entirety of last winter in SE PA. Rooting for a blockbuster winter for y'all back east, I'll be back in PA for 3 weeks in Dec-Jan and hoping for some snow during that time!

Ended up with about 1.5-2" on UW campus, most if not all of that coming this evening with the wrap around trowel.

First snow of the season here in Laramie. Coming down nicely with a coating on grass and cars. Still too warm for any stickage on roads. Some decent accums up in the Snowies

Yeah, Cheyenne is sounding confident in snow levels dropping fairly low up here for Thursday. The Snowies should see 10+" though. Laramie should see some accumulation

The 12z Canadian is pretty wet for the Mid-Atlantic this weekend