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Newman

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Newman

  1. Oh totally, it literally rotates in a firehose of supercells off the ocean and has 6"/hour rates for hours over NJ. Reasonable local lolli will probably be more in the 30-34" range
  2. 21z SREFs coming in more tucked/amped. Should mean NAM holds serve at 0z.
  3. Don't be concerned, what happens will happen. For all we know western Berks could end up in the deformation band and eastern Berks in subsidence. I'd feel the same way if I was still in Fleetwood. The tracking is just as fun to me and we'll get to witness a historic storm for some within the subforum
  4. The gradient being depicted across Berks County has been consistent and crazy. I wouldn't be surprised if somewhere like Bernville gets 6" and Boyertown 16".
  5. Top 3 NESIS storm on the NAM. You dump 2-3 feet from Philly to Boston you're rivaling 93 and 96
  6. This is going to be one hell of a storm y'all, easily Top 5 for some and some near the Jersey coast may even see their largest storm ever. Enjoy it and savor it, I will be living vicariously through all of y'all
  7. Widespread winter storm warnings now in effect, blizzard warnings for the coast. Berks and Lehigh Valley are 8-16". 14-18 for Philly, 20-24 for Jersey coast under Blizzard Warning
  8. Ukie looks good, coming into alignment here. This would honestly be my "base" snow map as far as spatial coverage of heaviest snows
  9. Yeah GFS is a tick east but it's just noise at this point. There will be a deep 700mb fronto band on the NW side of this thing that models will not pin down at all. Right now the meso models/GFS have Berks, Lehigh, Northampton, Chester as the far western edge of that. It could be east of that, or west. There will be a sharp cutoff
  10. Very much agree, these h500 tick improvements are more important than surface output
  11. RGEM continues to be unenthused in truly tucking and stalling the low into the coast. The mid-level lows close off just a bit too late and it scoots ENE quicker. It may also be chasing the convection to the east
  12. NAM is a significant increase in totals for Berks and the Lehigh Valley. 12-18" for everyone. Philly and Jersey 2-3 feet. Actually there might be more coming...
  13. NAM coming in even more amped, heights higher and cleaner phase. Here we go
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