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the_other_guy

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  1. for this discussion, you really have to bring in probability of occurrence to coincide with this. if we are going to root for an El Niño to fix our problems, it is great to discuss the strength… But more important to discuss how often the weak state occurs. Not often enough to root for it.
  2. when I started flying, I used to look at the weather for the flights down south I was always amazed how old is frequently cooler at night in these marginal air masses in places like Raleigh and Washington Dulles, then in LaGuardia. And when you have a winter that basically, is a consistently marginal airmass, this is magnified. New York City is heavily influenced by its coastal location, its lack of any sort of elevation, it’s overpopulation, and extreme urban heat island. Even DC in Baltimore are somewhat removed from this. And it certainly helps at night.
  3. There is no cold air. The models were grasping onto a thread the needle scenario. CPK has a shot at seeing 32F briefly on Saturday night. This is like rooting for a snowstorm in April. So, we didnt miss out on anything. This was/is a Hail Mary when you are down by 14.
  4. there were a lot of guys talking about temperatures not getting below the teens a few days ago. this cold verified pretty far out. As the warmth has been verifying
  5. Just based on law of averages, it would be hard to match or top a record month. But Don, what exactly is going on here? We arent in an El Nino. There is a lot of comparison to a warmer 97/98; but there isnt a direct correlation. What exactly went wrong here?
  6. Third dusting of the season in Westchester. Like living in RDU…with much higher taxes I see rain and mid 30s in CPK
  7. Always 3-5 degrees warm. Even within 5 days.
  8. Just watched Season 3 Episode 17 of Cheers. The entire episode is sprinkled with scenes of the upper West side during a blizzard. Why they used NY scenes for a Boston show, I dont know. Judging by cars and signage, it was early 80s. I’m not the only New York weather buff that will find that entertaining
  9. I drove down that morning. I had snow up here and frankly, I’m more suspicious about LaGuardia reporting any measurable snow than central park reporting none.
  10. well, if you’re waiting for ORDA run mountains to get to 100%, you’re probably going to be waiting a long time haha But I imagine after this week they will be set up very nicely for the presidents week holiday The “good” line is north of Lake George. Everything below that is going to struggle this year
  11. No struggles in Adorindacks right now, but they had a rough first half of January. Catskills have been messy all season
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