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the_other_guy

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  1. Just west of Denver. Close to 60 in Denver. High elevation has done well after many years of BN. The narrative that our historic season is somehow counterbalanced by their snow is a falsehood. Our historically warm winter is due to a bad pattern brutally enhanced by rapid warming of our local climate over last 30 years
  2. as I’ve been telling everybody I know, we knew this was coming eventually. It just showed up earlier than we thought…all at once. It’s going to take some getting used to, but really not a bad way for winter to be
  3. 0 for 2 and a warm Nino December? Worst case scenario, but Im a Mets fan and skiing without jacket on 2/13
  4. for this discussion, you really have to bring in probability of occurrence to coincide with this. if we are going to root for an El Niño to fix our problems, it is great to discuss the strength… But more important to discuss how often the weak state occurs. Not often enough to root for it.
  5. when I started flying, I used to look at the weather for the flights down south I was always amazed how old is frequently cooler at night in these marginal air masses in places like Raleigh and Washington Dulles, then in LaGuardia. And when you have a winter that basically, is a consistently marginal airmass, this is magnified. New York City is heavily influenced by its coastal location, its lack of any sort of elevation, it’s overpopulation, and extreme urban heat island. Even DC in Baltimore are somewhat removed from this. And it certainly helps at night.
  6. There is no cold air. The models were grasping onto a thread the needle scenario. CPK has a shot at seeing 32F briefly on Saturday night. This is like rooting for a snowstorm in April. So, we didnt miss out on anything. This was/is a Hail Mary when you are down by 14.
  7. there were a lot of guys talking about temperatures not getting below the teens a few days ago. this cold verified pretty far out. As the warmth has been verifying
  8. Just based on law of averages, it would be hard to match or top a record month. But Don, what exactly is going on here? We arent in an El Nino. There is a lot of comparison to a warmer 97/98; but there isnt a direct correlation. What exactly went wrong here?
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