the_other_guy

In a perverse way, almost rooting for the 0 inch winter in CPK!p Can you imagine the hysterics on twitter? You know its coming shortly either way… Anyone else with me on this?

Honestly, the earth can’t really sustain the amount of people has on it. we are reaching the tipping point of population exceeding natural resources to sustain it. Declining life expectancy is a natural solution to a natural problem. The Earth will adjust itself. It has done it many times already. If not, I would be looking at stegosauruses as I crawl down the Deegan emitting CO2 with my Jeep. If you want more concrete factors specifically for the US starting to die earlier: whites in poor communities are being inundated with fentanyl and opioids… and it is killing them. That has been bringing down the life expectancy of the US for a while now.

I would say its a lock. you need to somehow negate the extremes here, and I just don’t see any extended period of even normal weather….forget BN. What a very sad state of affairs

got cold and stayed for a week after that. that was our whole winter. 10.5 inches

In fairness if you blanked Dec and you lose Jan…winter is a goner. A 10 incher in February and a quick melt in March wont change that. So he had a good shot at being right on Jan 5th looking at the next 20 days

Ok…winter can be over. But no more rain. Just. No. More. Rain

We need to be going for all time monthly record if that happens right?

So basically and unprecedented El Nino storm or a gutter ball! I’ll go with the gutter ball at this point. The question is how low will the snowfall total be?

Stop it. there is zero need for air conditioning at the moment.

LGA 14C; BOS 4C this morning for the Shuttle flight huge temp swing with that warm front sitting over northern CT

It rarely happens… but I love when the fog is so dense in Hastings on Hudson that The ships on the Hudson River have to sound their foghorns. so ancient, but yet so necessary

Im 44. but I know that warmth is coming overnight.

That may be optimistic! but this is quite the rain storm if it makes you feel better

The invention of the century if that happened

Forget the snow…it’s too warm. Lack of snow isn’t the story… The extreme warmth is. This isnt normal. You’ve had year upon year of extreme winter warmth. I mean you look out at the GFS… that isn’t January; that’s fucking November. Your chances of getting snow with November temperatures…. You have no chance. So forget yearly averages, means, medians. if you live in Brooklyn and you have a begonia plant in your apartment, put it out on the fire escape and it’s not going to die anytime soon. When you grasp that reality, you will stop talking about snow. This isnt a Pacific pattern. This is unprecedented. This is fucking insane. rewriting the playbook . End of story.

What does the timing of the rain look like tomorrow?

That’s a shame. Signed, your northern neighbor

honestly, even in the warmest winter, law of averages. Doesn’t take a genius or a model to know that if the first two weeks of January are 10 to 15° above normal, at some point in the third or fourth week it’s gonna get colder. Safe bet

Dense Fog. 44F Gotten more dense over last hour

It is true. Especially in last 10 years.

talk about putting the kibosh on winter …geez 63F. this would be a beautiful day in April.

but it seems to only happen in these extreme variances when we are transitioning from a cold air mass to a warmer air mass. I just don’t understand why that is and I wonder if there was a study on that

The temperature variances in the city during these warm ups astound me over the last 10 years? why can’t the city cool off at night during these warm periods? Why is the UHI stronger than it is during any other period? It makes no sense. Central Park at 48F. Every suburb is 10-15 degrees cooler at 8 am!

That’s different than winter being over. You’re confusing the two. And you’re doing it for a responses most likely. There are three more months of winter. One way or another you will have more winter weather. Are we going to get near a normal snowfall? No. Not likely. Are we going to go above normal snowfall? No. Almost certainly not. There is plenty of historical evidence to back up those two claims. But saying winter is over on 12/30 is disingenuous.

pretty sure we’ve done this already in the past five years. We’ve had a string of winters where it just shuts down for two weeks. either way, with the shut out in December coupled with this, this is a throwaway winter in terms of snowfall…unless something unprecedented occurs