the_other_guy
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Everything posted by the_other_guy
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That was a N W storm right? I remember not much in city
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Oh please it was a two day cold snap that was already warming up by Christmas Day. It was alarming how we can’t keep cold for more than 48 hours now even when it’s that deep.
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would you call 2016 a 3 to 4 week winter? That was one mega storm, that immediately melted. There was a cold snap in February. Those are the only two notable things that winter. There was a lot of warmth around that
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Wind picked up at night. In general, if this was a snowstorm, I would have been disappointed by result. Underperformed all around. Rain snow line racing east->for mood flakes. Backside snow never works out in NYC. DC and BWI are better positioned for this (when it rarely works) as they are further inland off coast. In NYC this is Fools Gold -
i’m outside, walking the dog and typing this in flip-flops and shorts and a T-shirt. -RA can’t make this up for 12/10. We had a heavy batch of rain that lasted from 840 till 9 PM and that was it. That was the heaviest all day.
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You always skew too warm. MJO skews to cold. If you go over, Ill take the under. Stick around enough, and you get the biases in everyones calls
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I think being east, you were exception to the rule. Steady on and off. Not much here at all and not any notable wind thus far. Tonight…
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I wonder how many people canceled plans today based on the storm hysteria. Most of this will come while we are asleep.
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A lot of people here are jumping the gun, not only on the winter but on this month. 21 days left, and it looks slightly above average. It doesn’t look like a torch. Everything is in play when you see a bunch of 40s in the day over a 2 to 3 week period
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well, that’s the debate of a lifetime and of a generation. No answers and probably no quick solutions.
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Bam. I think this is really important because a lot of the 30 year averages are smoothing Just how bad it has become in the last 15 years.
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I really think you guys dig into the nitty-gritty a little bit too much. December is just 5 to 10° warmer than it used to be. the normals kind of skew it because it’s over a 30 year period, but that’s where we are at now. i’m looking at those mid 40s Christmas week and that’s pretty normal now. plus 5-10. That isn’t even a torch anymore.
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just left the ice-skating rink and for a second you’re fooled its winter. pouring rain and 55. I just thought about all those times that a heavy snowstorm would start with a burst of heavy snow. What a change to our Decembers in my thus far short lifetime. Like October/November weather now
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Doesnt a pig fly by right after that in the next scene? 4.2 seems high
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2016 was also a white Christmas from most of the region. If you were on Long Island or New York City, you had grass, but the rest of us had snow cover.
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LOVE DAYTONA!
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and 2016 was the anomaly with the one blizzard. Ironically, the strength of that blizzard driven off warmer waters and stronger storms.
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this is what I’ve been saying for years. People have been looking to a Nino to save us from something or reset the bar. Ninos are bad for us. And many of us believe there is no bar to reset. This is new normal. Not some switch that 2015 accidentally left on
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stop this bs. this is why people are so turned off by this forum. He doesn’t owe an apology to anybody. he’s looking at charts and posting what he sees. You already writing off Winter until January 15 like you have a clue. Should I call you out if we get snow on January 3? Ridiculous
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if the second part of that statement confirms, the first part will confirm. Which, doesnt say much, but says it all…
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can we establish that the linear conclusion between MJO and the type of winter weather you expect has been disrupted by AGW? it seems that guys that are relying on MJO phases for pattern changes have been shooting blanks for the past few years.
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31F. Cant wait to see reports from city this morning. UHI thrives in this warm up type of day
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Ninos here suck in general. The back loaded end is almost always a day late and a dollar short.
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So December is over?
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I just want to point out that many of us told the forum to watch this date for snow. As I said over weekend, a patented 2 day cold shot with precip shouldnt be dismissed
