LibertyBell

heaviest rains of the storm occurring here now, looks like a monsoon out there, up and over 2" so far.

much appreciated Tony! Can you add ABE (Allentown) to this list as well as MPO (Mt Pocono)? There's a flood warning out here now with 1.50" rain already fallen.

Actually we've been getting on and off thunderstorms in the Poconos with a consistent heavy rain since about noon. This is a different experience from what I've seen in tropical storms on Long Island though.

Just heard two rolling rumbles of thunder, kind of reminds me of the kind of thunder you sometimes hear in snowstorms lol.

Looking at the structure of the storm, the least "exciting" weather seems to be near the center as both the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall are well away from the center of circulation.

It's raining pretty hard up here now too, about 0.5" here so far got lots of ponding in my driveway.

I'm in the Poconos for this one and it's pretty gusty here, my trees are swaying back and forth, gusts are probably around 25 mph here right now.

Is this the strongest storm of the season so far? I dont recall any of the other 5 being stronger than 60 mph?

and probably a lot more waterspouts, like Florida. 2020 is a window into the future in many ways.

will probably make landfall between Cape May and Atlantic City. Highest wind gusts so far seem to be in that region- one report of a 57 mph gust already!

Yeah and if something like this happens next month I could see it becoming at least as strong as Irene was when it came ashore here- maybe stronger. I edited my post to make a comment about it being extratrop, it probably is, but it's smart for them not to state that so people stay on guard, remember all the controversy over Sandy. You cant take this storm lightly. We're under a flash flood watch here and this issue is likely going to affect areas well inland. The expanding wind field is also going to be an issue. A lot of inland areas have seen multiple days of flooding rain over the past week and the soil is still wet and under these conditions it doesn't take a lot of wind to bring down trees- a 30 mph gust can do it. I've seen it happen before.

The problem is my garden has become an obstacle course, I can't walk more than two feet out my door without either getting stung by something, bitten by something else, or caught in a web. I was waiting for all the birds that come to my yard to eat them but they seem to be more interested in the berries or drinking the water from my pond lol. This season has really seen a bug proliferation and a lot of them have also been coming inside my house and I'm trying to figure out how they're getting inside too.

To your point, it actually looks better/more tropical than some of the other ones that were called "tropical" this season- remember Dolly? It probably is extratrop but wont get labeled as such until after landfall- which is a good idea because we dont want anyone to be caught off guard (remember all the controversy over Sandy?)

I think he means it's subtropical because the strong winds are away from the center. And the windfield is expanding, so it matches up more to a noreaster kind of structure rather than purely tropical. It's probably a hybrid.

Rainfall in Ocean City approaching 6 inches already...getting reports that the wind field is starting to expand.

Yep and the tropical forum is pretty quiet. Best to keep it here where we've been tracking it for days.

Yet another thing to have to kill. I have been spraying nonstop this season.

You're right about that, I just think it has to be a different reason other than SST. Maybe July normally has more shear than either August or September in the areas where these things usually form? The only memorable July storm I can think of that reached our area was Bertha in July 1996. It hit Wilmington, NC at nearly Cat 3 status (I think it was the earliest major hurricane at the time) and it rode up right along the coast and it was a 65 mph tropical storm when it hit land again near JFK. Close to hurricane force gusts near Babylon and up to 7" of rain in the Poconos.

forecasts are for 2-3" in eastern PA and in the Poconos.

It hasn't been that rare to see a TS make landfall in NJ....we had Irene in 2011 and then Sandy 2012. I dont get this unprecedented July thing, the waters are just as warm in July as they are in August. The warmest they usually get up around here are low to mid 70s and that's where we are now. Upper 70s down by Atlantic City.

Was that the one that hooked into Atlantic City? Closest analog to Sandy. We might be revisiting that in a month or two at this rate.

Euro also moved west not that far from the GFS. Looks like a general 2"+ from eastern PA to LI based on the forecasts I've been looking at.

I'm envisioning something like August 1893. We've also been seeing tracks closer to the coast in the past decade or so, not the Eastern Long Island/New England tracks like what Gloria and Bob had.

Sounds a bit like 2011- remember that one? Big heat in July around the time of the wx conference in Baltimore and then epic rains in August from a few different systems, including Irene.

This is probably just an appetizer for what comes this way later in the season.