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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
wow a lot of our locals are predicting over a foot of snow including here in SW Nassau County Don. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
LibertyBell replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
wild that 1920-1921 was in back to back years someone should do a 3 day analysis of what happened in the 3 day storm lol and how come you dont have the Jan 2016 storm listed, it should be number 2 on the list, we had 3 inches of liquid equiv in that one! edit- you only included February not the overall list lol -
add JFK Tony, if you could going back to 1960 or whenever their record begins, as well as LGA please?
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so this would be like a very heavy initial snow followed by a dry slot with very light showers followed by another moderate long duration snowfall as the low starts to pull away on Tuesday?
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fwiw this actually has more snow on central long island than the previous run
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I think I'm in a good place being on the extreme western part of the south shore
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anything other than snow would be a very insignificant part of the storm outside of the twin forks and south of ocean county
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the snow is gonna be too wet to do that. I'm pretty confident we stay all snow but no way is this going to be over 2 feet and even 20 inches is a very long shot
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you should write more, writing improves your memory which I discovered accidentally when i started keeping a dream diary and realized I dreamed 20 or more times a night AND I'm not an old timer! I loathe the baby boomers and everything they stand for. I just told one in the financial industry the other day "the world would be a much better place if your parents' generation knew how to use condoms!"
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fwiw they shouldn't be using lithium, I already complain about lithium batteries in my cameras lol. The technology isn't as developed as NiMH and NiMH batteries last a lot longer- like more than 20 years while lithium batteries (for cameras anyway) fail within 10 years regardless of how often you charge them. I also hate proprietary batteries where you're forced to buy from the manufacturer. so now I've resorted to printing my own dummy batteries using a 3D printer and adapting them to work on AC power which is of course far more reliable than lithium batteries (since they are dummy batteries they dont contain any lithium of course, they just fool the camera into thinking they are lithium batteries and are connected to a power supply which I plug into an outlet. I also made one of these that works on usb power from a laptop or phone and one that works on DC power from a car cig lighter.)
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yeah I cant see anyone in the CWA getting less than 6 out of this
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Monday is going to be exciting, looks like this is going to be a photogenic all day windy snowstorm
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it was way too far south before so naturally it's going to correct itself to the middle. icon? lol I thought that's Ant's model to use when he's being desperate for a snowy solution
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Nam isn't really the poster child for accuracy lol, besides isn't it getting discontinued soon?
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there's no such things as trends, I think this was pretty well proven. The models just jump around an average or mean and move towards the middle, which is what the correct solution will be
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I used to read about these storms during my college years using the NY Times on microfiche and enjoyed reading the weather forecasts from back then!
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So true Ed! Could you imagine having a 120 mile "super marathon" from one end of the island to the other?! I wonder if we could divide the entire region into smaller groupings based on "official" reporting locations and then see which area jackpots in what percentage based on that....however we then run into the problem of their being no airports on the north shore so we have to look at co-op records and they dont go that far back. For the sake of simplicity...maybe we could do something like this....let JFK represent the south shore of Nassau County, LGA represent the north shore of Nassau County, Islip represents center island, FOK represents the south shore of Suffolk County and the co-op at Mt Sinai represents the north shore of Suffolk County. Then we can add NYC for the city of course and EWR to represent NE NJ. MJX to represent the Jersey Coast. MMU represents near NW NJ and FWN represents far NW NJ. For the Hudson Valley we could use a combo of Poughkeepsie, Newburg, White Plains, Montgomery and Monticello and Bridgeport and New Haven for the CT coast. Add in Danbury if you also want an interior Western CT representative. This gives us a total of 13 subregions.
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1977-78 was like an early version of the modern years. Funny thing that in 1977-78 it was a huge deal to get two double digit snowstorms (both were blizzards too.) 1960-61 had three, but I cant think of any others from that previous era with multiple double digit events.
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yes! just checked euro again it has 12-15 inches for your area, same as what it has for NYC-Long Island lol
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PC with two screens lol....just saw the Euro and it has an interesting output....20-24 inches both NW of here in the Poconos and just south of here in Monmouth County (of course!) with "only" a foot across western and central Long Island. If the Poconos gets 2 feet you're bound to get good snows up there too.
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that was amazing too, my biggest memory of that storm is coming home from school and both my parents were at work and my door wouldn't open, the lock was frozen or stuck or something. I waited for my mother to come home and by then it had already started snowing and I was just sitting there freezing in the snow. She tried to open the door and she couldn't open it either lol so we both sat there for awhile until family friends got home and then we went to stay with them. We didn't finally get into our house until around 6 PM when my dad got home and he was able to open the door!
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I remember that- it was snow here. That was such an onslaught of storms from December thru March never experienced by me before.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
LibertyBell replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
EPS normally reports lower totals than the OP right? I remember this being a characteristic of ensembles.
