NJwx85

We will probably see one more big storm system towards the middle or end of next week as the -NAO rebounds. I doubt we see much in the way of snow as it will be late April by then, but it might bode well for more severe chances and wind threats. Then the pattern should break and Spring should finally take hold.

Small supercell has popped up ahead of the line in Western Atlantic County. Some broad rotation on radar, with decent environment to work with.

South Jersey about to got rocked, looking meh for areas North of Philly. About ready to put a fork in this one for our area, although a marginal threat exists with the activity near Wilkes-Barre.

We would really be in business if some SBCAPE managed to work into the area. Right now, surging up into PA.

That doesn't include O&R customers. O&R is owned by Con Ed.

Update, slight risk extended East to about the Hudson river.

One lone lightning strike just showed up near Allamuchy State Park.

Think the cells developing near Martinsburg are the ones to watch. Just went warned.

Damage from Cape May

Hoping things pick up again soon. In a bit of a lull currently with light rain and breezy conditions.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 119 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Maryland New Jersey Central and eastern Pennsylvania Northern Virginia Eastern West Virginia Panhandle Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1130 AM until 600 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail event

From @earthlight

It’s coming

The old SPC WRF is signaling a good amount of 2-5km updraft helicity (rotation) crossing the area with convection between 18 and 22z which would correlate with the strongest instability.

Right on the edge here of the 5% tor threat and slight risk zones.

You can have the wind, we’ll take the tornado threat.

12z NAM with a convective damaging wind threat here tomorrow after steady rain moves out early afternoon. Not sure if we get enough clearing for Northern areas with warm front hung up around I-87.

Excited about this threat, not sure if it beats March 2010 locally. Had almost 5” of rain here and numerous gusts >50mph.

No dice here, just pedestrian moderate rain.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch just posted until 4pm.

Coming up on the 10th anniversary of my favorite March storm of all time.