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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    MCS's tend to dive Southeastward so even Central NJ might be too far North if the things don't develop into at least Western NY.
  2. NJwx85
    You can see how far off the 06z NAM is
  3. NJwx85
    Based on current radar, that band looks like it needs to be shifted 50-100 miles South.
  4. NJwx85
    That line is already looking fierce in NW PA.
  5. NJwx85
    Storm kinda skipped right over me here. Last week it looked like 3-4 days of rain with several inches. Rained here for about 5 minutes around 5:00 and that was it. Terrible mid range modeling continues.
  6. NJwx85
    Thunder and lightning here
  7. NJwx85
    Plenty of SBCAPE and shear to go around. Only real missing component for severe is less than great mid-level lapse rates. We shall see if the lift makes it far enough East before we lose instability.
  8. NJwx85
    Cleared out with full sunshine and mostly clear skies here.
  9. NJwx85
    Upper 80’s in the forecast here for next week. Just in time for met Summer.
  10. NJwx85
    It was 85 here on Saturday and my upstairs was 80 degrees. F that.
  11. NJwx85
    Starting Thursday it’s supposed to be in the 70’s everyday now. Most days should feature lots of sun out here as well. Might not be pool weather yet but it’s not supposed be that hot in May. Big improvement from the grim look a few days ago. We had the AC on all weekend. Turned it off last night.
  12. NJwx85
    Glad we’re not in the bullseye five days out.
  13. NJwx85
    Thunderstorms incoming
  14. NJwx85
    Pouring snow here for the last ten minutes
  15. NJwx85
    Let’s see if you switch to all snow. I’m still rain here and I’m 25 miles inland.
  16. NJwx85
    Not quite, it’s just at I-287 now.
  17. NJwx85
    It’s getting close here. The snow line has made it to Sterling Forrest.
  18. NJwx85
    I’m just being realistic. This is the new normal. It manages to snow it seems in every month except December, January and February. It was 82 degrees here last Sunday. Can’t make this sh*t up.
  19. NJwx85
    I don’t think flakes will make it all the way to the coast. Could be wrong, but it’s still 40 degrees where I am and the back edge is already to the Poconos.
  20. NJwx85
    None of the models that take melting into account showed accumulating snow near the coast. Those 10:1 maps are garbage even in Winter.
  21. NJwx85
    That deformation band on radar looks pretty legit.
  22. NJwx85
    We were in a day 3 slight risk last time, wasn’t exactly a marginal risk. Keep posting clown maps showing accumulating snow at the coast in May.
  23. NJwx85
    Wind has really picked up, snow is getting close on radar.
  24. NJwx85
    Can’t disagree but it’s not gonna happen either way. I’m expecting some flurries here around midnight lasting maybe an hour and I’m well inland and have some elevation.
  25. NJwx85
    Big pattern shift starting next week.
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