It's pretty amazing to see the vertical wind shear here. The clouds at the highest levels are moving Easterly. The mid-levels appear to be nearly calm and the low levels are racing North.
For those that don't know I am in Ramsey, NJ FYI.
Sky is black here and I can see a shelf cloud forming to my North over Rockland county. Been beating around the bush the last hour and waiting to see if all that activity over Central and Eastern Bergen county drifts Northwest.
Remember the good old days when cutoff lows on the East coast didn’t trend hundreds of miles West and it would actually rain for 2 or 3 days straight as modeled three days out?
Had a few sprinkles today and that was it. Heaviest rain fell overnight last night into this morning. That was it. Sun was actually out here most of the afternoon. Only lightning I saw this week was from the decaying squall line Thursday.
Not bad for about 500-1000 J/KG of SBCAPE. Goes to show you what strong shear and good mid-level lapse rates can do.
If we can destabilize some behind this line we have a shot at some severe later with plenty of old outflow boundaries hanging around and potential cold pool.