It's going to be quite warm-above average. I did a study last year that showed the -AO of 2 Winter's was so extreme, last Winter had to break it by at least 70% (-0.70), and that happened. Now it has to snap back to make it a perfect 3/4. (0.60-0.65). (A La Nina watch was issued by the CDC today.) My N. Atlantic NAO index which goes May-Sept is -0.80 so far, pointing to a -NAO, last Winter I was impressed because it came it negative, and that broke 32 straight months of +, but I have a feeling the index will go closer to neutral this year for it's total time of May-Sept.