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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, the +IO is interesting. I dont really believe in the MJO.
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    It would be fun.
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    79-80, 96-97, and 01-02 all had similar characteristics to 97-98 fwiw. (maybe StrongEl Nino in another dimension?) (It also seems to default to +EPO with -NAO pre-potential)
  4. StormchaserChuck!
    74-75 I think was a La Nina with +PNA. La Nina's are pretty rigid because they strengthen the mid-latitude jet, less land-ocean variance. I'm just saying, in the subsurface this one is not a La Nina.
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    Beautiful day again. That's what we need more 140mbphs hurricneas to hit no new orleans
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    Go out and measure Pacific equilatoral SSTs in December..
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    Wind and rain feel really good, best weather day in like 2-3 years.
  8. StormchaserChuck!
    We won't have Moderate La Nina without -PNA.
  9. StormchaserChuck!
    A lot of people don't know this, but 95-96 was not a La Nina as per ENSO subsurface, 0.0. Plus 90-91,91-92,92-93-93-94-94-95,97-98 were all +ENSO 7/8 years. 95-96 was +PNA.
  10. StormchaserChuck!
    The last few years of Sept 14th,
  11. StormchaserChuck!
    Maybe the CDC data is askew, the surface doesn't correlate as much..
  12. StormchaserChuck!
    I'm calling for ENSO Neutral, as per effects. Might have a -PNA, but whatever..
  13. StormchaserChuck!
    raindancewx might think this is interesting, after 2 years of +IO up to Japan in August (2020-2021). NAO signal is pretty interesting, Siberia doesn't often dominate.
  14. StormchaserChuck!
    After 2 years +IO, +SSTs up to Japan in August
  15. StormchaserChuck!
    Cool..I wonder if the +PDO will take hold
  16. StormchaserChuck!
    I've seen it a million times, predicitions for a +AO August, based on June, July run forwards puts it on models peak Aug 22-Sept 7, while veering weeks before.
  17. StormchaserChuck!
    all +PNA for the next 15 days.
  18. StormchaserChuck!
    Solar Max peaked Sept 2001, Solar Min peaked Feb/Mar 2020.. not sure how relevant it is.
  19. StormchaserChuck!
    big time -NAO still.. should be interesting ^ Solar max ascending underperforming, same point in cycle Just to give it away though, it should be like this
  20. StormchaserChuck!
    I think it will be +EPO.
  21. StormchaserChuck!
    You know what, the La Nina is gone now
  22. StormchaserChuck!
    I knew we were going into -PNA when the PDO shifted (30-40 year cycles) in 1998.
  23. StormchaserChuck!
    -NAO/-PNA.. but Boston had like 3" of snow in 2018, so I would go snowless all the way up the east coast.
  24. StormchaserChuck!
    Look at this.. Pacific ridge or 588dm 594dm is way north all the way through August. Next 15+ days. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_6z/ensloopmref.html
  25. StormchaserChuck!
    It ended up being pretty decent.. in the Summer the Aleutian Low is a little further north.
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