StormchaserChuck!

93-94 was pretty awesome too. A lot of people don't know thatit was a subsurface El Nino~. I always wanted a bigger ice storm.

Just another thing, I really like a-NAO for the Winter

November is the only month 2014-2020 with normal rainfall, All others were >75/25

Yeah, we had dry, powdery snow in '96. It was pretty awesome.

I think we are kind of controlling the Pacific with potential landfalls to an extent.

La Nina is really getting going https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/drupal/assorted_plots/images/TAO_5Day_EQ_xz.gi(f) It will keep strengthening on the surface probabably. There has never been a -PNA October during La Nina! The greatest was +120dm in 2007 and 2008, we had the strongest two, but I think both had a stronger EPO. Since satilte data in 1948- 1955, 1975, 1985, 6 years were strong +PNA/La Nina. Last year, 2020 was +PNA/La Nina. Models through mid-October have about a +200dm -PNA, and we have never really done that before for the month of October in La nina since 1948. It will be interesting to see if we beat the 2007/8 record of +120dm for themonth. (last year was +PNA October-LaNina)

It looks like Nino3.4 will probably hit Moderate La Nina. -PNA, almost all of the time Dec1 - Mar31. 122 days, I say we have a mean+anomaly 500mb ridge north of Hawaii every day.

(site can't be reached 4x). We might HAVE A SOLID WINTER-PNA now. -PNA Winter. Probably >+70dm Dec-Mar

Yeah, Moderate La Nina Winter (Nino 3.4) It wil be interesting to see where we go the next 2 years, evening out. I think we are behind on Arctic sea ice.

Do you know that we haven't had a -PNA/>0.0EPO October since 2008 (weird since almost all Winter's have been) Models are strong on this, analogs 2001,2007,2008 We have had above average rainfall across the US 75/25> for 7 October's in a row- negative AOhappening. Will be interesting to see what happens with this. Analogs to next 15days models of -PNA

Actually, that's after October 3. We could do like 9-10 more storms.

Before an +EPO Winter (this Winter's going to be +EPO) -2019 had 7 storms here on out.- 2018(-EPO) had 3 storms 2017(-EPO) had 4 storms 2001 (before biggest +EPOWinter) had 7 storms here on out.

I go for a firehose/roaring Pacific Jet.

I bet the wet streak continues, the whole US was +75/25 greater every of the last 7 year's.

It might precede +subsurface ENSO momentum ~March/April

When I was in a mental hospital when Cat 5 Micheal was making landfall, it was like a global blackout.. quietest I've ever experienced.

Only real match to precip pattern/West-STJ loops around Rockies Is last year 2012

Last 7 years, the trend

Really wet actually 7 October's in a row.

Really wet actually 7 October's in a row

lol, 18,18.17,19

We might get some localized El Nino conditions maybe.

Programs ending, or nonending 25 years ago, I've never experienced anything like this before.

We are going to have maybe the 1 or 2 highest global ACE ever.