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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    tried to upload paint, but couldn't, attachments and stuff, I was going to point out the +PNA
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    Not what we want to see for a -NAO Winter
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    A lot of La Nina conditions setting up, but subsurface is actually getting warmer in the +correlation zone. I wonder if we'll see a trend toward +PNA
  4. StormchaserChuck!
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    I was disappointed that we did not get an El Nino, because the QBO was perfect, 14/14 chance that it would be positive for the Winter back in the Spring, and with an El Nino, that is the best combination for cold and snow.
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    Actually, it's a lot like 2015, 2016, and 2017 when we saturated into Fall
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    That's kind of cool, I think we will warm up to around +0.0 in the Spring.
  8. StormchaserChuck!
    Indian Ocean probably has a perfect schematic too lol.
  9. StormchaserChuck!
    Pretty pathetic..
  10. StormchaserChuck!
    Real nice -PNA for next 15 days. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_0z/ensloopmref.html La Nina-like,
  11. StormchaserChuck!
    That NPH is really interesting. +NPH and -3 cold water in South American SOI region.. almost seems like a fake lol.
  12. StormchaserChuck!
    Top Pacific seasons
  13. StormchaserChuck!
    I remember going through 2005-6, high CHP also goes or defaults to +EPO. same with last winter kind of
  14. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, look at 2005-6 And last year We all know 1995-6 had a lot of ACE 1933 had a lot of ACE Definitely a -NAO signal.
  15. StormchaserChuck!
    Nice -PNA evolution for the next 15 days. Look at this going into the Fall
  16. StormchaserChuck!
    Preceded, or coincided with the +IO, MJO 7-8 SST warming.
  17. StormchaserChuck!
    It didn't feel like a La Nina last Winter.
  18. StormchaserChuck!
    Cold water off of South America https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/drupal/assorted_plots/images/soi_110w_drupal.gif
  19. StormchaserChuck!
    I mean, we will have +NAO because that has been default since 2013, but there will be blocking, probably assicioated with peaks in -PNA or +EPO.
  20. StormchaserChuck!
    I could see January as the month with NAOblocking.
  21. StormchaserChuck!
    I remember the ECMWF verified pretty good, agrees with the -NAO signal that we seem to have 65/35, 60/40 or something.
  22. StormchaserChuck!
    Poor Larry.
  23. StormchaserChuck!
    Western drought since 2000.
  24. StormchaserChuck!
    60W/20N is a pretty big benchmark, when it passes NE of it, they don't hit like 98% of the time.
  25. StormchaserChuck!
    eh, disappointing Winter coming, E ENSO is complete Neutral
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