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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    Pick a date for next winter and I'll tell you the 500mb pattern
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    There's my -PNA
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    The ENSO subsurface configuration looks like a La Nina pattern will redevelop in the central subsurface, so that trend is usually associated with -PNA. I think the above map looks good.
  4. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, you could see it was coming by March 2018 (wasted Jan)
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    Totally El Nino in Pacific +Day 8.
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    Well, we saw this kind of thing in 2018.
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    110/-50 is about to hit +2c in mid-April.
  8. StormchaserChuck!
    So with an El Nino next Winter, let's see in 2018 Oct-early Nov were favorable but it was warm.
  9. StormchaserChuck!
    No
  10. StormchaserChuck!
    The age of El Nino is over.
  11. StormchaserChuck!
    Looking like an El Nino, guys.
  12. StormchaserChuck!
    Some good old +NAO Spring warming
  13. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, we are in a pretty large -PNA/La Nina cycle though, the 2015s+ had a big +NOI off the West coast.
  14. StormchaserChuck!
    -NAO is going to be hard to come by next Winter. El Nino progression is looking better, +0.5c readings coming in for the first time.
  15. StormchaserChuck!
    tada +NAO love the pattern shaping here
  16. StormchaserChuck!
    NOI blows up a little here (NPH) http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_12z/ensloopmref.html -NOI In April is a big deal for El Nino Apr-Jun, I think.
  17. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, anything democratic doesn't really work, unless you like to be ruled.
  18. StormchaserChuck!
    I'll tell you what, if it's Weak Nina it will be one heck of a hurricane season. That cold subsurface bubble at -200/170 today is interesting.
  19. StormchaserChuck!
    I told you, arctic ice melt is lagging.
  20. StormchaserChuck!
    Anything after 2018 is legit, really.
  21. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, that's a good point. If the Earth's system were in natural climate, there would be less evil/lose of free will.
  22. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, I don't know why IRI is calling for -0.2/3 warm peak.
  23. StormchaserChuck!
    Expect El Nino SSTs to really speed up in the next 2 weeks.
  24. StormchaserChuck!
    LR GFS ensembles tries to build +PNA finally toward the end
  25. StormchaserChuck!
    This is nice But look at how the -PNA builds in (Since Jan 1- April 18 we are going to have the most -PNA on record for the time period!) This is my forecast for next Winter, El Nino or not..
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