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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    A few years ago, it was breaking 127/128F in Death Valley for 4 days in a row in early June. All-time record is 134. With SW High getting stronger, something to watch out for.
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    The La Nina-state is not breaking here. Subsurface: -PDO Even when the NW Pacific ridge breaks, it's -PDO.
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    Now we have an El Nino pattern setting up
  4. StormchaserChuck!
    Kawaii, Hawaii, 11 miles into a barefoot trail(only way to get to center of island)
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    I bet some of the top La Nina analogs have this pattern 4/15-16 (-PNA)
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    It's snowed up here something like 13/20 times in early April since I moved here.
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    Healthy
  8. StormchaserChuck!
    Really impressive for going-into-El Nino-analog indicators.. 4-15
  9. StormchaserChuck!
    El Nino pattern broke on today's 0z, 6z models, we are in -PNA/-PDO I think until ENSO switches again(next year)
  10. StormchaserChuck!
    +PNA/El Nino-transition really phased out today on models., -PDO-pattern for next 15 days. I think this will hold through the Winter, El Nino or not, and it could be something like 72-73. -PNA tendency, especially next Jan-Feb
  11. StormchaserChuck!
    DCA +2.5 NYC +2 BOS +1.5 ORD -3 ATL +3 IAH +3 DEN +2.5 PHX +3.5 SEA +0.0
  12. StormchaserChuck!
    Continue to think next Jan-Feb have -PNA tendency.. if we do that in a +/- wave with El Nino, I don't know, probably not.
  13. StormchaserChuck!
    Seems like a Spring pattern to me.. we have that +300dm centered over Alert, Canada, and it's 60 degrees. Confirms my W->E > theory I think.
  14. StormchaserChuck!
    Do you notice how the PNA/EPO and NAO are always dancing? 1) I see Winter pretty much over 2) the +PNA this Jan and Feb might give us a -PNA next Jan and Feb, but with -NAO or AO maybe
  15. StormchaserChuck!
    Magic gravity of the 500mb High to that Alert Canada region (our highest snowfall correlation)
  16. StormchaserChuck!
    We've basically been in a multi-year La Nina since 2007-8. I don't know, stop effecting.
  17. StormchaserChuck!
    Usually you don't get new ENSO state (warm subsurface-now) -change impact the Winter pattern, Dec-Mar. Usually it's first felt in April. I guess 1988 is a counter example where we had more southern stream High pressures. The +PNA is from warm subsurface ENSO (greater 500mb correlation than surface, by alot). 1) The amount of "+PNA cold" we see in the east is capped by this "law".
  18. StormchaserChuck!
    I don't think they are beautiful looks, High pressure in the Pacific is the only real thing.
  19. StormchaserChuck!
    It takes 10-15 seconds for my message to send through.
  20. StormchaserChuck!
    Not going to snow.
  21. StormchaserChuck!
    It's silly. I don't have any money, and they are manipulating cycles in the NW. Pacific [3tries]. Stupid, evil.
  22. StormchaserChuck!
    12 likes? 1 trophy Just kidding, but we have to break this La Nina pattern. PNA dominates+time, it's like a physics equation.
  23. StormchaserChuck!
  24. StormchaserChuck!
    I just really believe in the PNA, it's really strong signal for the state of Winter.
  25. StormchaserChuck!
    A La Nina next Winter would be horrible with +QBO. We could have done well(snow) with El Nino this Winter.
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