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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    Squeezed it.. general composite is about average temperatures
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    I'm skeptical because the US didn't get hit by a hurricane for 11 years after Katrina in 2005. I imagine the SE, US hurricane drought should first be beaten by NE, US hits or a higher probability/tendency.
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    0-5 year 0-10 year normal hit's, that's for sure
  4. StormchaserChuck!
    Nice to hear from you raindance.. +EPO for the Winter would be interesting as it would be a matter of gravity with that Hadley cell trying to go north, we are definitely -PNA January and February, -PNA Jan, Feb. ~ +PNA Dec
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    17-11-4
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    We are also superdue for a NE Hurricane hit
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    Thanks for responding Ji.. I can kind of envision the whole Winter pattern with this in mind, as -PNA/-NAO have been very correlated since 2019 now. Unfortunately, it's going to dance around our snow chances, etc..
  8. StormchaserChuck!
    I always say subsurface wins>>> surface directly and for everything. Another example, again,and again we have been +PNA in this subsurface +1 strip with surface -1.7 Nino 1.2 -0.9 Nino 3.4 etc over and over and over
  9. StormchaserChuck!
    CPC 8-14day-3 month is La Ninaish, we'll see
  10. StormchaserChuck!
    Going to be really hard not to go >0.0 in Nino 3/3.4 Soon
  11. StormchaserChuck!
  12. StormchaserChuck!
    A pretty clear hit too, WSW's up to the N, S, E, W
  13. StormchaserChuck!
    If June is cool July August September will likely be hot/above average
  14. StormchaserChuck!
    Last year we were hot in June, then cooler in July-August-September. I think there is a lot of heat potential these days in May-June, so since May is cooler, June could be like +5. ^June 3 builds -PNA, which is 80s/90s automatically at 15day, mid90s max + 3days
  15. StormchaserChuck!
    Retrograding NPH ->to -PNA by June 3.. we might hold ENSO Neutral into the Winter.
  16. StormchaserChuck!
    An ongoing theme: 1983, 2012, 2016, 2018, 2022 (since 1948). That is, the beginning of a big Nino 3.4 SST shift in late May-June-July-Aug. 1/64, then 5/10.
  17. StormchaserChuck!
    1983 was the only other year (opposite) *No years from start1948-1982 match.
  18. StormchaserChuck!
    It's not spiritual.
  19. StormchaserChuck!
    Let's see if the West drought busts. It might be a 1-year thing.
  20. StormchaserChuck!
    1863 I don't think the model pick up will amount to much.
  21. StormchaserChuck!
    Nah.., we are using Los Angeles ridge only/primarily.. -WPO and kind of +PNA pattern around that time should keep it down, but like I said we are busting the Hadley cell High pressure right now so it might be 90+ anyway.
  22. StormchaserChuck!
    May-Sept, 12-4 since inception in 2005, right now we are favoring -NAO for the Winter.. It goes through Sept, but the anomaly state fluctuates between now and then less than volatility average. At least it wont be strong +NAO Winter.
  23. StormchaserChuck!
    62 beams.
  24. StormchaserChuck!
    We are at like 54 beams of response, military, by this same man. These can also melt the body. sorry for those with kids, but it's too stupid.
  25. StormchaserChuck!
    35 beams of heavy weight, responses to 2-posts here, worth like 5 words an hour ago. These are military responses, 42 beams around my computer screen, what isn't responding here or something.. psycho
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