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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Couldn't be ! Models said no. Kmrx says no way ! Lol. Evaporative cooling ftw !
  2. Daniel Boone
    If we can get a semblance of sustained ridging out west I believe we'd all be in business for a widespread Winter Storm . I have a gut feeling of a Major b4 Seasons over. Hopefully, I won't have to take a lot of milk of magnesia at season's end.
  3. Daniel Boone
    My thoughts exactly. A bust like this last system has a tendency to cause that especially with ones that are typically conservative anyway. Models all have my area getting a couple inches tonight. 12z NAMS nuts with its 5 to 6" depiction. Not buyingbit but will say I've witnessed a fall of 5" with a similar setup. Dec., 5, 2003. Also 4" from a very similar h5 setup in the late 80s.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Much of Lee County recorded 40 inches of Snow or more from Feb 12 to March 6. Some Northern sections over 50" !
  5. Daniel Boone
    Ill post some pics from Feb. 2015 tomorrow Lord willing , nothing happens. Turning in for now.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Of note on Carvers above post. Overrunning events have produced some of the Valley's biggest Snows. If I'm not mistaken Knoxville was a recipient and testament to that with their greatest Snowfall on Record. 22.5" , Dec. 3-5th, 1882, I believe.. correct me I'm wrong on that. A long time ago but, there's been some not so long ago. As for my local, Feb. 14, 1986 is my fav...13.5". 6" fell in an hour and 10 minutes !
  7. Daniel Boone
    Euro may be falling to its hanging back energy bias, as that would definitely help pull that trough westward. May be looking at a Center of Country based one for a bit b4 coming East if MJO propagates from say , 7 to 8. Either way, with blocking Central based can produce .
  8. Daniel Boone
    With persistent blocking, we're gonna have to keep eye on MJO. Models struggling due to it and Niña state affects on pattern I believe.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Still shows possibility of an outbreak. Models flip per usual. If MJO goes cold phases and blocking remains may not be so unrealistic.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Got a Lt. dusting in JC. . Dusting at my home in Jonesville, Lee Co. VA but, just a couple miles north, 2 to 3" across Northern Lee as they got in somewhat on that south end of the large synoptic area that moved through KY. A shot from my home looking North . Stone Mtn. along Ky border snow covered.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Began snowing here at 8:35. Big flakes early that dusted grass a little then went to rather small flakes. Temps down to 33. A bust so far. Kind of was afraid precip might get pulled across mountains close to and within lp . Mentioned that earlier. Parts of KY doing pretty decent . It's the weakened gap between the two, the great valley.
  12. Daniel Boone
    44.0 here. Temp fell from 54.4 to 44.0 in an hour and 25 mins. Brisk northerly wind of 5-20 mph.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Dropping fast here with a brisk Northerly wind , 5 to 20 mph. Went from 54.4 to 44.2 in an hour and 20 mins.
  14. Daniel Boone
    53 here currently at just over 1700 feet. Alot of sun today but, clouds are moving in now. Terrible timing.
  15. Daniel Boone
    The problem I believe the SR Model's are seeing regarding moisture is the LP to our SE pulling the moisture closer and into it. I've saw this b4 more than once. There is a decent slug that goes thru KY But, as that low cranks a larger area increase and intensifies to our SE therefore creating a weakness or gap of sorts between the two with the Terrain being an aid to that process I believe. Alot of difference I know but, some similarities to the Christmas 2010 snowfall. General 3 to 5" amounts from areas to our west then, transfer/ strengthening Southern LP created that weakness and the area between the 2 saw lighter amounts. 2.7" at my home. KTRI an inch.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Suns breaking thru here with about 55% Cloudcover. Current Temp. of 42. Lt. East wind. Hopefully, clouds fill back in soon but, not liking setup with this one. Timing hurts us . As far as HRRR and couple other SR Model's, they've performed rather poor here with a couple of the events this season , having had us getting under an inch right up to the event. Basically the entire County got 3-6". Of course, there's a reason for that I won't go n2 now and only pertains to this general area.
  17. Daniel Boone
    3k looks paltry.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Yep. It has been stingy regarding Snow for the area all Season. Like you, hopefully it won't score one.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Just wondered as its been terrible here this Winter.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Anyone know much about the IBM Graff Model ? Anyway, it is the "in house " model WCYB in Bristol uses. Just curious as I conversed with them recently as was curious because of its forecasted failures as far as Lee, Claiborne and Hancock Counties were concerned.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Good point's per usual Carvers. NOAA has a tendency to use the RMM and GEFS as you know. We all pretty much know their bias's.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Waterways are up here yhis morning . Measured 1.99" Rainfall from this System. That along with residual snowmelt caused alot of standing water in lawns and pastures along with some streams coming over their banks last night.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Grit posted a Noaa MJO update a little while ago in Southeastern. I didn't take time to check it out, other than them saying it's gaining amp in WPAC.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Hopefully, it'll be right . Euro's really not that far off. I think it still has a bit of warm bias so, who knows. May be reason of its Christmas Eve failure of sorts or could be it has a weakness with anafrontal situations or that was just a fluke by it.
  25. Daniel Boone
    As far as this side of the mountains, particularly the Cumberlands, the Canadian Suite has outperformed the others overall this Winter.
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