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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Yeah, same irt this area although annual precip avgs a bit more as Lee County averages 45 to 55 inches annually. More Mountain tops of course. Western end near Cumberland gap highest Valley range. Central, lowest. Snowfall as is case with where u are on average, 14 to 45 " annually with more Mountain tops. The high end being Northern Lee , the Keokee area on the western arm of the Wise Plateau, as it's pegged in the area. As u can see, much more on the Wise plateau in northern Lee and portions of Wise and Russell Co. I.e., Wise, Norton,Lebanon and Honaker.
  2. Excellent analysis and well presented as usual Jeff.
  3. Yeah, does pique the interest. Probably is enhanced be the angle of the Valley between those ridges going up to Monterey. You can visualize how that would probably enhance the heavier "streak" if you will, through there. Sort of a concentrated upward funnel of moisture transport.
  4. Lt. Dusting here with very small flakes falling.
  5. Lee County Data is corrupted due to the Pennington gap Site. Official NWS Site and Equipment set up not inline with NWS standards. Metal building 10 ft from Thermohydro Sensor. Site situated about 75-100 yards from Powell River only about 10 ft above bank level. It is within the Pennington gap Sewer Plant and manned by plant personnel. The Pennington Station was out of circuit up until a year or so ago due to erroneous data being reported from the previous site 1 m. South of Pennington at the Water Plant on the banks of Powell River and manned by plant employees. There was a time accurate Data was recorded from Pennington gap. WSWV Radio recorded data for about 12 years up until mid 90's, with staff Meteorologist Don Tooley doing the honors there . Long time official Observer Ernest Frye was prior to that beginning around 1950. Both those locations were more reflective of the Pennington gap area. If you want Accurate Forecasts and Model Data, you need accurate, well placed Stations with trustworthy, knowledgeable Observers.
  6. Yeah, one of my Winter analogs. Hopefully it'll work out. '72 one failed.
  7. Yeah, IF favorable phases coincide with strat induced blocking, chances of a storm is possible in March and a blockbuster at that. However, LATE March cuts down the odds particularly in lower eles..
  8. Exactly Carvers. Yeah, hopefully we get that moderate snow area this weekend but displaced about 50 statute miles Se.
  9. Yep. With this Pattern we need digging Clippers. The s.stream actually hurts us with those sometimes.
  10. We are still slightly less than half the average Seasonal Snowfall here. 7.9" so far.
  11. So, basically everyone needs to take a Chill pill, right?.
  12. Lol. Not surprising really. I don't get how they picked that up and then completely lost it. How many snows , storms or clippers have we saw advertised recently within the 10 day window that has materialized.?...Very few. I'm basically down to having any hopes in one, of about 3 days on the horizon.
  13. Yeah. Feeling those vibes as well. I was thinking and in hopes Blocking would be setting up around now and things would align to where we'd pull off at least one major Snowfall for the Valley but, having doubts now. May be one of those Winters where all area's, NSEW record above average Snowfall while the great Valley is Avg. or below. If old Averages were still used, entire Valley would be well below. Who knows, with todays paltry averages, wouldn't take but one halfway decent Storm to go over the threshold.
  14. We got 13.5" here that day. 6" of that fell in an hour and 15 minutes that afternoon. The heaviest, straight down snow I've witnessed at that duration. Flakes were large, medium and small. Visibility was around 100 yards !
  15. Looks almost carbon copy of current system. If so, BS . Ohio Valley would be under 4 feet of snow and ice.
  16. Thanks for the uplifting posts Carvers. You made valid points as did Holston. Hopefully, ur right irt the MJO. There was a time I'd been completely delved n2 and saturated with the current data but, not anymore as my health prevents it. Terrible to seldom feel like doing things you enjoy. If it weren't for you guy's on here I'd be lost anymore. Those of you that aren't Mets, u r as good as and even better than many. It's a shame most in the Field r not as you all.
  17. I think ur right irt the MJO. The 500 mb pattern sure is looking like that 3 to 4 transition. If so, odds of the Feb. 72 and 75 similar playout are off the Table. Maybe an '84 Feb/March variation. Not good in the great Valley . Points West did o.k. . There was a March event that produced Thundersnow and a significant Snowfall 2000ft and above in the Eastern Forum Area.
  18. Ì agree John. It's as if they want people to believe the areas got less. I just don't get it.??. It almost appears they are computer generated but, apparently not based on official obs input. Western Lee received much more than that graphic indicates. As you mentioned John, the Snow streamer bands would be evident on that map if it were done correctly.
  19. Yeah, remember that one well. I had 5" in Jonesville. Just 2 miles south of me in southern Lee County there was 8" . Stickleyville in eastern Lee at base of Powell Mountain had 9". Northern Lee received no precip. Amazing sharp cutoff.
  20. Anyone remember back in December when most were calling for a canonical nina February.?. I had my suspicions and alluded to the possibility of a 1971-72 and 74-75 type. There was a major arctic outbreak mid Feb. 72 followed by a major Snowstorm. Feb. 75 featured cold and Snow deep into the SE with most snow to our south and east. However, a Snowstorm occured in parts of our area in early March. Not particularly great analogues in all respects but, possible similar outcomes.
  21. You would think that will be the case with the MJO in ph. 3 if it influences enough as well.
  22. Check that streak out from western Lee that stayed intact down thru the heart of the upper valley. Several inches western Lee co. from it . KMRX measured an inch and a half from it at their Office.
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