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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    As you know, all LR Models are heavily weighted ENSO.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Exactly what I've been thinking too. That pest is definitely blocking the flow as it's creating confluence n and nw of it. Providing things line up upstream, once that thing's outa the way, we may be in business.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, the great record cold December followed. Then, the great flip to mild Jan. 1st that resulted in mild east/cold west rest of Winter.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Agree.
  5. Daniel Boone
    One of the greatest Winters, 1977-78 flipped late November. Of course we're talking a different era then. Would be nice to witness that again. The modern era the later seems to be the desired.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Actually saw a Tick today. Very unusual this time of year here. Hadn't saw any since Spring. Really odd.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Agreed. Still some advertised PV stretching upcoming of which looks to aid into an Eastern trough.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, saw that. Sure could use a tc in more ways than one. Drought getting serious.
  9. Daniel Boone
    My hopes have been on the warm west coast and nepac SST'S and a neg. NAO. to throw Nina off kilter. However, current progged pattern may cool those waters in pac thereby hurting that help. Some areas in the urals/Scandinavian and natlantic are looking more favorable for -NAO. So, guess we root for that along with PV disruptions .
  10. Daniel Boone
    Sure hope it makes it up this way. Breezy out with low rh. currently 48%.
  11. Daniel Boone
    At high amp it can be a very dominant driver.
  12. Daniel Boone
    If I'm not mistaken, someone on the boards took the time to break it down with phases and the differences when formidable blocking was present awhile back. Of course, amplitude had an effect too. As one would expect, blocking did alter the canonical MJO Phase.
  13. Daniel Boone
    I'll contact a Ufologist and have them pm you.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Man, you'd just love it if strong blocking set up this Nina Winter wouldn't you.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Reached 39.5 here.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, the 25th in 1995 it sleeted and snow showered that afternoon. We had 2" Halloween '93 and 2" next morning. It snowed all day on Halloween but much of it didn't stick. Had it all stuck there'd been a couple inches more.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Few flurries here. Apparently, the heaviest snow showers are draining on the western slopes ; Plateau and KY/VA Border. Solid Cloud cover making it over but, not much Snow.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Wound up with 0.77" here. Foliage was at peak yesterday. Rain took quite a bit down. Leaves were great this year . Thank the Lord for the rain . Was in dire need as water levels are low and fire danger really high .
  19. Daniel Boone
    Yes. We were fortunate down here as January featured a Total of 20". 3 of which were around 6" each. Feb. 18" Total . One being 13.5" on Valentine's day. Another oddity, December, although rather mild produced a White Christmas with a couple inches.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Great job ! I like 85-86. Been pondering that one for awhile.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Peak here now in far SWVA.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Some of the greatest harsh Winters of old had early cold. A break late October/early Nov, then pretty much wall to wall cold until Feb. or March. Granted, recent years (20-30) have been different of which many, being the younger generation are going by.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Not classic. Looks rather borderline imo and some forecasts have it going Positive. Also, those warm SST'S off the West Coast and GOA should aid in a + PNA.
  24. Daniel Boone
    CPC probably drew this up a day or two before issuing it. However, it may still turn out right. The +PDO may be the weapon against a sustainable -PNA this Winter. A glimmer of hope against all the mild outlook's , particularly if the forecasted dominant -NAO is realized. There would be alot of busted Winter Outlook's.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, sure hope they're right Buddy. Always worrisome to get a -PNA during a Nina however. Sometimes hard to dislodge, particularly if that Nina enhanced PAC Ridge sets up strong. If we can have a +PNA in place as the -NAO is still going, could be some early snows for sure. Actually, yesterday's EPS was contrary to the Op Euro irt ridge east/trough west .
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