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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I remember that. Yeah, Kentucky did get hit. It was weird I remember how the cold did. I'll look up KTRI Daya on that period. Think they were even a bit less cold than here. Mainly Sunny and dry too .- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Would be magnificent !!!- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, I remember that. You guys were decidedly colder.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
That would rival the coldest I've recorded of which goes back several minutes. High of -4 Jan. 21, '85 and Feb. 5, '96. Both with deep snowpack.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Same here.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
It did but just wasn't the bitter cold as was Plateau west. Coldest daily high I recorded was 23 during that. Cold but, nothing unheard of.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, you guys on the Plateau westward were alot colder with that one than Eastern area's.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Good point. I would imagine that since climo adjustments have been made{jacked up normals over the years in response to warming} that there is some effect in mr outcome. Whether that would portend to a colder or warmer one is the question. Food for thought.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I see on the GFS snow map Lee County snowhole sticking out. Lol. That's the result of years of erroneous data going into the model ingest system from the Pennington gap co-op site. Sad. That's why the NWSFO's need to make sure everything is up to par at those sites.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yep. Causes us so much anguish. It is depressing when you get rounds of precip when it's mild and when it finally gets cold, dry as a bone. That's the good thing about El ninos; usually systems trekking along the subtropical Jet during mild and cold periods.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, shows 1 p.m. Temps Christmas in single digits SWVA/NETN with below zero highest elevations.- 582 replies
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An inch here as of 10 p. m.. light to moderate rain began around 8 a.m. and continued until 6:30 , then a few showers. Hopefully, we get another inch or so as water levels still need replenished up this way.
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Actually makes sense the way the cold Nina Winter's progressed. There were the breaks , of which snow would melt assisted with rain and flooding for short intervals, only to turn back to cold and snow. You're right on with the Chinook Carver's. That was a part of the evolution in those Winter's. I'm still not sold on that this Winter however as so far the Nina ( cold west, mild east) pattern has won out this late fall/Winter. 3 weeks cold west vs week to 10 days east. Also, those cold eastern Nina Winter's pretty much all started earlier with the base cold pattern. Not really sure that means much , really though. On a positive note, the blocking that has shown up may help in getting that rare colder eastern Winter. MJO should help later on I think as SST'S become more favorable in critical area's.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Being a Relic, I've lived to see several white Christmas's . My all time favorite being 1969 with 10" Christmas Morning.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, Nina has really been ruling the Roost. If blocking can hold strong enough we should get some low road systems. Agree on PNA as well. That would put the icing on the Cake. Seems it's like pulling teeth to get a -NAO +PNA Combo anymore. A big worry too is once the cold settles in ,we go bone dry. I remember the super cold Christmas '83 out break doing just that. Not a single flake ! A High of zero that day in Pennington gap with bare ground. Unreal ! Get this, 2 days later a southern Ms Valley System moves in starts as Snow, coats the ground with a heavy dusting and then suddenly turns to Rain. Storm cut west.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, was just looking at that. Man , if that comes to fruition, white Christmas would be likely with locked in cold .- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
If it weren't for the Nina, with the strong HLB we'd already be in business Winter weather wise. Hopefully the SST'S in the western PAC will become more conducive for better and stronger MJO progression in cold Phases as we move forward this Winter.- 582 replies
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Yeah, looks potent enough for light accs up and down the Apps.
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
True.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
yeah. we have a difference maker this time that hopefully will project that further east. Gfs is terrible with upstream blocking.- 582 replies
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
Daniel Boone replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Even though im not in the SE area, thats some interesting stuff Larry and still relates to our adjacent areas. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Agree. I'm feeling pretty confident. We've been burned so many times it's tough to be though.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, the block may be the difference maker here, depending on how deep the trough is out west, however. If there's a deep trough still out there it could cause the boundary to be more ene oriented and cause frozen precip to be relegated to our north and west. Hopefully, we get a west, east boundary and the entire forum cashes in . IF there is an ene orientation, hopefully it'll be far enough south to still get the area in the frozen zone. I've witnessed that on several occasions.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Cosgrove is honking for a major snowstorm just before Christmas for the Apps to Ohio Valley. As some know on here, Coz has been in the business many years and is an expert in LR and Pattern recognition. He, imo, is an ef hutton of Meteorology.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's acting as if ur not signed in then.- 582 replies
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