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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Daniel Boone replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, trending that way. Appears to be a weakness there up the eastern OV. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, 12z GooFuS has that System coming way North. At least CMC, UKMET still look good. Hopefully we get more HP to the North. The close proximity of the Lows hurts as it doesn't allow cold to funnel behind them. That can be a problem with Nino's. It does generally keep one from becoming strong and amping. However, the GFS has that first one a strong one and amping.- 1,263 replies
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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah but, as far as overall pattern compared to just a few days ago. Honestly, I hadn't looked at the 6z so yeah, that trough coming into the west sooner doesn't help matters. We need to get a true Nino augmented NPAC Aleutian LP. The -PDO is hurting . Mainly the extreme WPAC warm SST'S are what's appears to be causing the problem imo. Wants to force a Nina like NPAC. -
2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
Ensembles look better first half of January. Operationals are going to spit out different solutions often . -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah agree 100%. Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley Snowfall averages actually went up the last five years.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Carvers, of course that's just a conspiracy theory from us regarding the political agenda, lol.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, I noticed that too. I wonder what they show for Lee County that Winter. ?. The range was 35 to over 50 inches (excluding Mountain tops).- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'll second that. Same with the so called official Pennington gap Site. It's just awful how poorly recorded and kept the Data is. It may not be political but, it looks it regardless. Climate agenda .- 1,263 replies
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Winter 23-24' Wx Observations Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Wound up with about half inch Total Snow here. Only a quarter inch or so on grass and snow board at any time however. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Saw similar outcome in the big Jan 2016 Storm. Heavy Snow west and east of the great Valley. Mixed mess Valley. Wound up with just 4 inches at my house then. Oddly, portions of the County easily doubled that.- 1,263 replies
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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
If this developing stuff in far SWVA/EKY and NE TN move that way expect more than forecasted. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, was checking out the MA Sub earlier and they're pretty torn up regarding that. The GEFS is the terrible looking one. We can work with the other's. We definitely don't want that La nina Ridge dig that western Trough like GEFS indicating along with a - NAO. Then we have what killed us last year. Hopefully, that doesn't happen. Let's hope we score a couple times early January that way it'll be easier to take.- 1,263 replies
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Winter 23-24' Wx Observations Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, a heavy shower quickly covered grass here. Looks like western Lee down through Hancock County is getting clocked with a strengthening training band. Also , area sinking south through Harlan County KY is moderate to heavy. Some areas will get a surprise accumulation tonight. -
2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
Snow began here in Lee County VA around 10:30. Temps running just above freezing so not sticking as it's not heavy enough to overcome the slightly above freezing T and warm ground. A dusting is at mountain around 2000 ft and up so far. -
Winter 23-24' Wx Observations Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Snow began here around 10:30. Temps running just above freezing so not sticking as it's not heavy enough to overcome the slightly above freezing T and warm ground. A dusting is at mountain around 2000 ft and up so far. -
Lt Snow began here around 10:30. Temps running just above freezing so not sticking as it's not heavy enough to overcome the slightly above freezing T and warm ground. A dusting is at mountain around 2000 ft and up so far.
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December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Light snow began here around 10:30. Temps running just above freezing here. 34 now 33 at onset. Looks kike a dusting on mountain from 2000 ft on up so far.- 548 replies
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December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, sadly not a very professional forecast at all.- 548 replies
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Nice Toy !!! -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Daniel Boone replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, Bluewave will look like a genius. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Daniel Boone replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Could be Strat goings on messing with the Models. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Daniel Boone replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sounds like me sometimes, lol. -
December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Much of the moisture in the mid/ upper levels was used up with last System , as KMRX noted. However, alot of low level RH so, may be picking up on that being lifted.- 548 replies
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December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, as most of us know, an SSW really fouled us up just as a great pattern was setting up a couple times the last several years. Timing of occurrence I suppose.- 548 replies
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December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Wound up with just over a half inch Total here. Totally short changed. Those bands continued training S to N over same areas yesterday. When that one that soaked the plateau finally slowly made it over our area there wasn't much left of it.- 548 replies
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