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WesterlyWx

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About WesterlyWx

  • Birthday 09/08/1994

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  • Website URL
    http://www.wnylakesnow.weebly.com

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KBUF
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    West Seneca,NY

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  1. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    As you were saying normal or slightly below normal temps gets us snow this time of year and I’d rather have a pattern like that than brutal arctic cold but the storm track is suppressed to the south over the M/A or SE. Honestly I hate the cold as I’m getting older so give me 30 and snow and I’ll be a happy camper.
  2. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    "Snowing" decently under this band ATM. Only thing is it's about 98% graupel and 2% real flakes...27 degrees here though so it is sticking.
  3. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Would actually be about 3” here 10:1. Would be quite a nice little surprise if it comes true but doubtful.
  4. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    What a terrible boring weather pattern we’re in for the next several weeks at least. Can it be January 1st already?
  5. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Picked up about 3” or so with this band moving through this evening and still snowing. Picked up about 2.5” this morning so closing in on 6” here as well. Not terrible. Just stinks a good deal of what fell this morning melted during the day while we didn’t have any snow falling for about 8 hours with temps right near freezing. Driving home from work in Hamburg to West Seneca was quite a scary ride to be honest, had to be at least 2”/hr rates. Everyone had their hazards on and you could still barely see them. Not a band event but just think what could have been without so much wind shear...
  6. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    They closed Eden schools today, now they’re probably wondering why with peeks of sun likely until this afternoon. Lol!
  7. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    All 06z model runs look like the city may only see 1-2” at best and even the Southtowns like Hamburg and OP may only see about 6” with how sheared apart that band is. Models cut way down on QPF and residence time looks to be very limited.In a few hours models have the band shooting north to about Amherst/Tonawanda and then very quickly scooting back through and dropping through the city and then into ski country within a few hours. On to the next one!
  8. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    That band is definitely sheared apart pretty bad. Great call by the NWS on forecasting that. The band looks like it’s dead stationary about 3-5 miles to my south or if anything the motion on it looks like it may actually being starting to sink south a bit which is very surprising. What if this is as far north as it gets and it never even makes it to the city? Haha. got about 1/2” outside at my house in WS. Looking at webcams Hamburg is getting hit pretty good and must have several inches already.
  9. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Either the NAM is gonna score a coup or it’s gonna get embarrassed badly. Not sure which one it’s gonna be. It has the band RACING through from Niagara Falls to Olean in 4 hours. That would be like a 15 minute residence time for any one given location. Lol.
  10. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    All models showing that transition snow hole as usual :/ I really need to buy my next house south of 20A.
  11. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    NAM looks horrible off Erie, 2-4” max.
  12. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Models look to be pushing band through much quicker then yesterday’s runs. Don’t think any one area will be under the band for more than 2 hours or so which should greatly limit accumulations even if it’s cranking out 3”/hr and thundersbow.
  13. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Trust me the hi res nam has it nailed down. Bullseye on the Chautauqua Ridge with a lesser secondary maxima over the northtowns with a nice hole right over South Buffalo and West Seneca. Happens almost every event lately.
  14. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Looks more right, goes from 1 foot to 4 inches. Gonna go with 2-4" for Buffalo. Max of 5" in Williamsville/Clarence 2" in south Buffalo and West Seneca. 3" in Hamburg. Yawn! Between this boring weather, the Bills, and the Sabres, someone wake me up January 1st. Thanks!
  15. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    You really gotta take their snow totals with a grain of salt. I like Todd Santos personality and think he is great for an on air met but their snow maps and correlation between what their own in house models show and what forecast map they come up with is just puzzling. Honestly channel 7 has the best mets now and I am beginning more and more to watch them for weathercasts even though I've been a loyal channel 4 guy my entire life (especially since the start of the WIVB blog 10+ years ago).
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