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About WesterlyWx

  • Birthday 09/08/1994

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  1. Landfall is not until the center of circulation crosses land. Likely not for another hour or so.
  2. Should be early enough to catch it before landfall and see if we have a hurricane on our hands or not. I’m gonna say it makes landfall at Holden Beach, NC as a 80mph hurricane with a pressure of 988mb.
  3. How do they calculate an extrapolated pressure?
  4. So should be bumped up to 70mph at 2 pm advisory.
  5. It sure looks that way on Satellite. I think that’s from the W/SW shear pushing all the cloud tops off toward the East even while the center of circulation continues on a NW heading. Check radar for a more accurate look at the overall motion. You can see the “eye” and follow its movement off to the NW.
  6. If this is a cat 2 it’s by far the ugliest cat 2 I’ve ever seen in my lifetime, hell I've seen mid grade tropical storms look better than this thing. It looks a total mess on satellite. Radar does look improved however which is surprising given its satellite appearance. Would also be the highest pressure I’ve ever seen in a cat 2. 987mb is quite high for winds of that speed.
  7. I don’t think it makes it above a low end cat 2 if that. There’s a ton of dry air all around it and as you said some pretty strong SW shear keeping everything from wrapping around the center symmetrically. The eyewall keeps going back and forth between open and closed and until it can close permanently and convection can sustain and expand around it (which is hard to do with the strong shear) it’s not going to strengthen much. I think it’s best chance to strengthen is actually in between Florida and the Carolinas if it can avoid riding inland along Florida. SST are just as warm there as near the Bahamas but shear will decrease and as it approaches NC or so it will begin interacting the the trough to the west and the SW flow from the low level jet will likely enhance the winds as it gets picked up and scooted very quickly through the Mid Atlantic into New England.
  8. If you look on visible it’s a lot easier to see the center is in the far western envelope of the convection and almost becoming naked as you can see it is definitely beginning to become exposed. Not the ugliest storm I’ve ever seen but far from the prettiest. This thing needs to wrap some convection around the center but it’s gonna be tough with all that W and SW shear blowing everything off to the East. Will be interesting to see what happens during tonight’s d min away from major land masses and warmer waters for sure.
  9. Why is there not more dry air being infested by the “core” and there is downsloping occurring off the peaks of the DR right into the circulation?
  10. I have mine mounted on a pole in the middle of my yard 6 feet above the ground. Might not be where your supposed to put it but I haven’t had time to go up on the roof and mount it at my new house since I moved from West Seneca in December. I find my readings are still within a degree for temp and dew point for surrounding stations. Wind data does seem to be compromised though and I think our house as well as surrounding houses definitely do block some of the wind as even in high wind warning criteria winds I can never get a gust to measure above 30-35mph but I’m not really concerned with that aspect for the most part.
  11. Yep same one I got. I love it and haven't had any issues in the 3 years I’ve had it. For the price you can’t beat it.
  12. Tell your dads tenants to apply to this. They need to do it by the end of the day tomorrow though. But seems like a great program that would keep them from getting evicted and also help your dad out tremendously considering they would back pay rent all the way to March 1 https://hcr.ny.gov/RRP Here’s the program overview. . The COVID Rent Relief Program will provide eligible households with a one-time rental subsidy that will be sent directly to the household’s landlord. Applicants will not need to repay this assistance. The Covid Rent Relief Program is not first come, first served. Applications will be accepted throughout the two-week application period. HCR will prioritize eligible households with “greatest economic and social need” accounting for income, rent burden, percent of income lost and risk of homelessness. The rental assistance payment will cover the difference between the household’s rent burden on March 1, 2020 and the increase in rent burden for the months the households is applying for assistance. Households can apply for up to four months in rental assistance.
  13. What does any of that have to do with Covid? Or am I missing something?
  14. Love lake effect season! Even lake effect rain. Just so fascinating seeing such mesoscale events produced purely from the bodies of water to our west! I can remember a lake effect rain event about 8-10 years ago that rained 3-4 inches of rain over the metro area in a few hours and it was just fascinating to see with lots of urban flooding.