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About WesterlyWx

  • Birthday 09/08/1994

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  • Location:
    West Seneca,NY

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  1. Nearly 2" of rain today in West Seneca. Caz creek is rising FAST.
  2. Or until we get some severe storms lol.
  3. At my job in East Aurora today and there's a good 4" here and we're only at about 1100' elevation. Shows you don't need much in elevation to make a difference. About 1 1/2" at 600' to 4" at 1100'. I bet at 1500-1800' elevation there's a good 6"+
  4. What a disappointment. Same thing as Wolfe. About 1" of white rain on the grass/non paved surfaces. Paved surfaces have a "dusting" of slush on them. Snowing pretty good but I think the snow is too wet to even accumulate efficiently I guess? Sucks.
  5. Dude it's 31 here and absolutely ripping snow! Holy crap! Did not expect this early at only 600' elevation. Grass and cars already have a nice coating and it's coming down hard.
  6. Sounds perfect. Will get to shovel on a Friday and walk around in flip flops by Monday. Nothing wrong with that...
  7. Definitely not totally true. Parts of New England just had a snowstorm last week with 850s of 0 to -1C. All depends on how cold the whole column is. If it's at -1C from 850 down to the surface you snow, unless there's a warm layer above 850...
  8. That would be a heck of an April paste job. Not counting on that but definitely feeling confident for more than a dusting, even at lower elevations.
  9. I think it's interesting now, could it trend warmer still? Sure, but as you said it could trend colder too, and it would only take a degree or two (F) to make the difference between a half inch of slop and 4 or 5". The local mets here are only calling for a sloppy dusting in the BUF metro and lower elevations but I wouldn't be so sure of that yet. All the models look to flip far WNY (lower elevations included) over to snow by 2am or so Friday morning. I think we could pickup a couple inches of slop even here at lower elevations before the April sun puts an end to the accumulations during the daylight hours before things may become a little more orographically enhanced Friday evening in the higher elevations. Find this a pretty interesting and intriguing set up that has a lot of potential, but that potential can definitely work both ways.
  10. I think the hills south and east of BUF and ROC over 1500' could see a 6" paste job Friday into Friday night. I think this ones all gonna come down to elevation.
  11. Not really, at least it doesn't look that way to me. Looks the same as it did 2 days ago.
  12. Surprised no ones said anything about Friday's potential storm. Looking pretty good for 3-6" across WNY according to NAM, GFS, and Euro. Obviously the more elevation you have the higher the totals but I wouldn't be surprised if even the Buffalo metro area picked up a couple inches of concrete Friday evening...
  13. It's all bright banding. Nothing but a light rain with a few parachutes falling to the ground every now and then. Don't expect anything exciting with it.
  14. It's been an interesting winter for sure. If not for this last storm that dropped over 2 feet here this winter would have been the worst winter I have ever personally experienced in Buffalo. Without it we would have been right around 50" for the season which is roughly 50% of average. With how warm it was too it felt like spring much of the time in January and February. Crazy that a mere 150 miles away Binghamton has set a record for their snowiest season on record. It's been fun (and frustrating!) but I'm looking forward to the next lake effect season, especially in my new house in West Seneca which seems to be the bullseye for the big time lake effect events (Dec 2010, Nov 2014), lol. Best time of year is the November and December period when we can get the mega lake effect events when the lakes still warm and the cold air is fresh! Until then, hope everyone enjoys the summer, and I will pop in also if we get a big rain event or severe thunderstorms. Also crazy to think it's been 10 years since I started posting on the forums (back on Eastern)... here's hoping to another great 10 years! Best weather forum around!
  15. Congrats and just goes to show how you can still see average or above average (In BGM's case) snowfall even with much above average temperatures like we've had most of this winter. Incredible and congrats to everyone on one of the best storms for upstate as a whole ever!