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About WesterlyWx

  • Birthday 09/08/1994

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  • Location:
    West Seneca,NY

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  1. WesterlyWx

    2018-2019 LES Season

    I’m about 7 miles NE of BuffaloWeather. It’s fascinating to see the difference in such a short difference. He definitley averages a good 20”+ over me and there’s some events he can see 1’+ while I’m looking out the window at green grass. Happened quite a few times just last year. There can also be times (not as often) that I can see 1’ of snow while 7 miles to my NW downtown Buffalo is looking at green grass. On an even rarer occasion my location can be just about ground 0 on early season SW flow events (see Dec 2010, Nov 2014). Looking forward to having another forum to post in and read about what’s going on across the upper Great Lakes not just the eastern lakes.
  2. WesterlyWx

    2018-2019 LES Season

    I’ll also be chiming in here as well from just south of Buffalo,NY (About 6 miles S of Buffalo and 6-7 miles NE of BuffaloWeathers location). Average about 115” a season.
  3. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Wow some nice lake effect rain bands have set up off both Erie and Ontario in the last hour or two. Both lakes have some 40+ dbz returns as well as some lightning detected which is almost surely from graupel.
  4. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    First flakes of the season in the PNC in the hills south of Buffalo.
  5. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Looks meh. Maybe highest hilltops over the Southern Tier (over 2k') and some of the dacks catch a few mangeled flakes but for the other 99.5 % of us we'll see just plain old rain with temps in the upper 30s and low 40s. Will certainly feel like fall though, and definitely a step in the right direction. It sure beats mid 80s while trying to pick out a pumpkin...
  6. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Anyone want to take a very early guess at seasonal totals for upstate major locations? here’s my guesses KBUF: 89.1” KROC: 106.7” KSYR: 128.9” KART: 114.2” KALB: 45.0” KBGM: 68.3” KITH: 58.9” KJHW: 103.4” KIAG: 72.5” KFZY: 186.6”
  7. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Toronto: Freeze October 14th / Snow 14th Buffalo: Freeze October 15th / Snow 13th Rochester: Freeze October 27th / Snow October 13th Syracuse: Freeze October 15th / Snow 14th Watertown: Freeze October 6th /Snow October 6th Albany: Freeze October 27th / Snow October 14th Binghamton: Freeze October 7th / Snow October 7th If we’re talking Freeze not frost then I think many will see snowflakes in the air before we go sub 32 degrees. Could see some rain mixed with cat paws with a temp of like 35-37 degrees without the actual temp ever dropping below 32 until we get a nice radiational cooling night.
  8. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    One of my favorite lake snow chases was in mid October of 2012 (I believe) in the Tug Hill where I witnessed 6"+ of snow on the ground and pretty heavy rates of over 1-2"/hr during the daytime. Definitely liking what the long range models are showing and am thinking that would could see an early season lake effect snow event by mid October somewhere in our forum, tons of cold air over Canada for this early in the season.
  9. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    At my hunters safety course in Awrkright today. Was only 36 degrees when I got here at 8am this morning. Downright cold.
  10. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Perfect outdoor weather. Give me 60-70 with low dews and sunshine anytime. Literally perfect. Don’t break a sweat, not chilly or shivering and if there’s a breeze you throw a hoodie on. How could you not like that?
  11. WesterlyWx

    Upstate/Eastern New York

    Funny you say that, I’ve chased multiple times there. Awesome spot to chase for the money and you can easily access the Tug and if (or when) it gets too hairy out, there’s several spots in walking distance you can walk to for food, necessities, ect... here to hoping we have many early season events to chase (or hopefully not even have to chase lol) !
  12. WesterlyWx

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Flo looks the best it has in 48 hours. Was watching a livcam from Surf City about 1/2 hour ago and WOW! Anyone know any wind reports from that NE inner eyewall? Seems like it was well over 100mph judging by the camera but hard to tell.
  13. Pretty far north of NHC track all day long.
  14. Atlantic Beach, 105knots. Think this things gonna have a last minute north trend, just a feeling, probably totally wrong.
  15. WesterlyWx

    Hurricane Florence

    Can you post please?