EastonSN+
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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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I feel this is payback for all the great years we had this century!
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I am hoping for a Feb 18 repeat. 60s and a couple 70 degrees days surrounding a fluke 3 to 6 inch event.
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Yup fast flow/no blocking.
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Just this one period. This endless warmth resembles the 90s outside of 93/94, 96/96 and 92/93 (also 01/02).
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This sums up the winter and the 80s. Frigid warm up quick and rain
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I don't have the actual stats but Don might.
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It came down to messing up a good setup in December. Ultimately, the northern stream low took over and became historically strong, which then stripped the 3rd low of moisture and suppressed it. That 3rd low had a TON of potential!! Had the 2nd storm been weaker we would not be talking about the record now. Take December 2000 for instance, one storm hit us and could easily have missed to the SE. We were bound to strike out at some point. In a typical la Nina, your window is early and sometimes late. Now we wait to see if we get to phase 8 in time.
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It can snow in any phase, it just a lot harder in 6.
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Courtesy of RTD. I like that they put together a write up.
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Was thinking about this. So far we've had three looks. The Neg NAO period, the PAC flood period and now we are heading into the look above. Kind of amazing CPK is at 0 with three different setups.
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It floods the continent with PAC air. Also, like the NAO, the actual position and strength are important as well.
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MJO phase 6 by the 13th. Getting to 8 before the end of the season will likely be the determining factor as to whether or not we get at least 1 snow period this season (of course we could always get a fluke like Feb. 18, Jan 12, March 98 etc etc.).
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Protect the pipes.
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And after single digit lows. I remember we had a LOT of storms with perfect tracks which were all rain in 97/98.
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That right there was 97/98 in a nutshell.
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For all those not alive or too Young, this was 97/98.
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For all those not alive or too young, this was 97/98.
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I feel like DC is in a terrible location for snow in general. Last 10 years it seems to always snow north, south east and west of them lol.
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They have been raking lately.
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This will likely be the deciding factor in succeeding where winters like 72/73, 97/98 failed. Can we get to phase 8 at a decent amplitude in time....
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The only difference I see between 97/98 is 97/98 felt hopeless the entire winter. This winter we absolutely blew a golden opportunity. First storm too early for most (I only had 1.5). 2nd storm northern stream low absolutely exploded and became historically strong which is what ultimately did us in and avoided a December 2000 storm, the 3rd low which held a ton of potential was suppressed/moisture robbed from the historic 2nd storm. Now, as many we're saying la Ninas you have to score early as January and February are often hostile. We failed and now we are getting skunked. Sure we can score late Feb and March due to shorter wavelengths and all, but I would bet against at his point.
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And you know it's going strong negative in April....
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20/21 was at least somewhat close to average. I was at 42 inches my Average is 30 to 35. I think boom or bust is the norm. Since 1990 I have only reached average, or within 5 inches of average, in 1993, 2006 and 2016. Either complete failures like most winters in the 90s or this winter.
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I think CPK beats 97/98 this year. 97/98 was saved by a late March fluke. Can't rely on that. This place is going to be a party when we get the next 02/03, 14/15, 15/16 etc etc.....
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Yes but the difference is strong, well placed blocking. La Nina with no blocking is horrendous for snow here. The NAO has not been negative since December 15.
