EastonSN+
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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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This is what's needed.
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In the end we could not beat out the triple dip la Nina. At least we know the next time it happens we are breaking records!
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I am starting to think that we finally break the futility record this year. While ECMWF gets the MJO in 8, GEFS completely kills the wave in 7. I feel that the ECMWF scenario is the only hope.
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Are u sure you have the correct winter? I remember only one mixed event in 13/14, which was 12 inches followed by over an inch of rain followed by 1.5 inches. All the other storms were in the 20s and snow
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I remember having 58 on the year in 13/14 with the GFS showing a 16 incher in 5 days followed by and 8 incher a week later and another storm queed up. Then it all went south (literally). It 100% could have beaten 95/96.
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I am hopeful I can add a little to my season total at the very least. Currently I am at 1.5 for the year.
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See here is why we have to agree to disagree. I do not buy into our climate completely changed after 2018. I believe the warming is a steady progress. We are nowhere close to calling 17/18, 13/14 extinct. We will only find out with time.
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Take a 95/96 setup again. Now let's do 2 things. 1. We snip off the November and April 8 inch total. 2. We add snow to the mid winter storms due to higher ocean temps and fuel. With the above the record CAN be broken
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It was their record. No reason that CPK cannot break their record..
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They change but if it can snow 4 inches in April it can snow much much more in March. With the PV on our side and moved a little bit can be MAJOR especially if they occur overnight.
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Boston thought the same thing about limitations before 14/15 happened.
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Coastal water temps are less of a concern in March. You cannot say that in 14 those March storms would snow in DC and not CPK. In that theory DC would do better than Boston
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Yeah I don't get all these no more March snow calls. It literally just snowed in May. The PV did not disappear.
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Correct. It was their 10/11.
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It snowed in DC in 3 storms. We could have broken the record. Talking CPK here not coastal NJ or Brooklyn.
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I disagree. Our record is lower due to latitude, so we need less snow to break the record. I can think of a single reason as to why it can't happen.
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13/14 for CPK was 58. if March produced and was not suppressed record broken likely.
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Boston broke theirs in 6 weeks. Was a terrible winter for them outside of that. Also 13/14 was as close to wall to wall as you can get and may have broken the record if not for the March suppression.
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I guess my question is, why can't a setup like 13/14 happen again? PV stuck on our side? March less suppressive could have broken the record.
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Question. Why can't we have a wall to wall season like 95/96 I'm the past 6 years we have had accumulating snows in both November and April. Even a Dusting in May. May be slightly harder but not impossible. We just need a static favorable pattern. They are relatively rare but they happen.
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How about a 13/14 setup? That March with all the suppression could nail us. Perhaps we beat the record the same way Boston did, a 6 week torrid stretch I feel like 13/14 gets overlooked too often. We could have challenged 95/96 if March wasn't too suppressive.
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Records are made to be broken. I would put money on us breaking 95/96 in the next 10 years. With the same setup and warmer ocean temps, the same storms would have more juice and therefore higher amounts.
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That sums up 97/98
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It still gets to 8 before weakening. This wave looks stronger than the last 2. Will provide at least a brief window. We did have opportunities last 2 but as usual we failed.
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Please correct me if I am mistaken but I believe the following is best enso state to worst: Weak El Nino Moderate El Nino Weak la nina Neutral Moderate la Nina Strong El Nino Strong la nina
