The 4 Seasons

Damn you got me good. Pretty much what its been here in CT the past 2 years. Averaging Norfolk/Richmond snowfall. I'd seriously change my profile to that name if it was a quick change i could do but i think i'd have to ask an Admin to do it on the backend. OKX CC

39 and rain. Compete non event

So was the emoji. I'm one of those who throws around emoji reactions all nilly willy anyway so I wouldn't read to much into them Anyway rain has commenced, 39F hope yall northern folk do OK

This is gotta be the most ridiculous 10:1 clown I've ever seen. Can't wait for my 15" Euro ticked north/warmer as expected. Still expecting 0-0 here so I guess it's irrelevant.

This winter's just as bad as the last/check

First call. Will issue an update tomorrow sometime. Starting to think even this is a bit bullish. Up and in and the hills look best for this atm. BOX/OKX is extremely conservative with their maps but i have a feeling they'll tick up.

you hope.

valley floor vs 500-1000ft can mean the difference between 0 and 10" in many events, sometimes within the same town. And with this type of marginal shit airmass you're probably gonna need it. I'm not bailing yet well see what tonights runs look like, but it's looking kinda bleak for the CT shoreline..need a lot to go right

ill give it to 00Z tonight but im out for anything more than just some rain ending as white rain here

GEM looks like dog shit, mostly rain. If this airmass didn't absolutely suck, we would have more wiggle room.

you've gotten so many 18-25"+ plus storms over the last 10 years and us central and W CT folks have got zero. Jan 15, Mar 18, Jan 22 come to mind

Yes. Central and W areas really haven't had a big dog since. At this point im just hoping for a 6" system but even that is like pulling teeth.

Yeah it was pretty awful, i call it the Lite-version of Jan 26-27, 2015. I'd love 7" of wind whipped cold snowfall, don't get me wrong but i was expecting a lot more from that one and got stuck in the middle of bands..areas to my west and east got more. And just like Jan 15, i missed the big dog 12-16 numbers by like 10 miles to my east And no, Litchfield/NW CT did not get a warning event for that one..but they've gotten plenty since. I'll just say it was the last big snowstorm..down to the coast where 95% of the population did hit that 6+ amount. It was the last time areas that did get warning snowfall for that event --- haven't seen one since.

a lot more decent hits for southern areas on i noticed compared to 00Z/18Z. Mean shifted south as well

If we do end up getting a region-wide warning event on Jan 28-29th it will have been exactly 2 years to the day since the last one in CT.

Models have precip knocking at our door to our SW by 12Z Sunday, thats a little over 24 hours from the start. If it takes that long to just "have a better idea" then thats some sad shit-ha. I think we'll start having a good idea what we're looking at by 00Z tonight. That's about D3. Btw i dig your sig, colorful and neat. On a side note, OKX does not seem to be interested in any snow right now. Even for their northern most zones its categorical Rain, with only the mention of a chance of snow at the end. I'd think they'd have at least Rain & Snow or Rain or Snow at this timeframe

Meh.

can't lose

go higher james

yeah i've been doing that as needed im at 99% as well. I'd love to see some recent images from that site from whatever model you want... if you can

Do you still have access to WSI model lab or whatever it was/is called? A lot of us used to have access to it but then got booted a few years ago. I know the RPM has been discontinued but i was wonder if you still can use that page and are allowed to post any images? I think it's The Weather Company now?

kiss of death for all of us.

??? For you thats about the optimistic thing i've heard. I wouldn't even say that at this time frame for SE interior MA.

69th percentile is the most imporant

No.