The 4 Seasons

Wolfies been MIA lately

When you come at the king, you best not miss

GFS is adios, shocker. Gonna be the theme rest of 00Z i suspect. Hopefully tom. is better, but i wouldn't push any chips in on that.

Theres been hardly a true rain storm, stem winder with 50s and 60s spiking up through new england that we see so often each winter. Kinda been more like 2015 than anything with a lot of cold and no real rainers.

AI GFS is not that different from 18Z its a tick SE but just a hair. Still a very big hit for most but who knows when its done correcting SE, the thing was over HFD yesterday.

don't forget MOGREPS and ICONEPS tbh i've been looking at them, out of curiosity.

not consistently though it was really just 12Z today, if you're talking OP models. 12Z GEM yesterday had no storm, 00Z started to come on board. GFS has had a storm but kinda waffling a bit between a scraper and more of a direct hit. At this range i was more focused on the ensembles and 12Z GEFS was pretty tepid and SE, as well as the EPS. With some amped/W members in there. GEPS probably had the best mean but still well SE of the BM

I've been leaning that way, doesn't mean it still can't happen but i think its more likely a whiff/scraper than not, 40/60. Icon also went from a major storm at 12z yesterday, to a complete whiff open wave last night, back to a major snowstorm at 12z today so a lot still needs to be worked out. Still the euro not biting was a big flag.

Red bull it gives you snowings

i literally spit out my drink when i read this. thanks

First, final and only call for tomorrow's light snow/mix/rain

HE6AES!

I just finished March 4-6th, 2001. I'm never revisiting that one ever again. What a complete mess on the PNS across all CWAs. COOP stuff is all over the place. Its a 65 hour storm so different measuring techniques caused massive differences in totals. The PNS has totals that dont make sense and end at 7AM Tue or Tue night or Wed. All the climo sites are probably wrong. BDR too high? BDL definitely too low. ORH makes sense but Will says its too low bc they stopped measuring. SWCT low totals are suspicious. etc etc. A nightmare. But i feel decent about it and increased the ranges significantly and leaned aggressive. Ironically the totals around here line up perfectly 15.5-16" I will post on March 4th.

more than 6 hours? That's a shame since it's their #1 Edit: also that would mean NYC has a higher #1 than BOS, whats BOS #2? 78 with 27.1? I can def fix that 18 in Marshfield if you think it's too low. Their final PNS on Feb 19th has Marshfield 18" there is no times next to the numbers so its assumed everything is final, doesn't mean it still can't be wrong

If only the Canadian Parallel wasn't the Canadian Parallel

AI is among us?

Read the date.

AIGFS is big still, goes over GON this time instead of HFD lol GFS similar to 12Z came NW from the 18Z run which was a scraper

Not on the 00Z GFS

I mean it was pretty great for most, the storm and the whole month.

Happy hour run hittin the sauce a little early

AI GFS still cuts through CT lol

leave it to you to calculate that. depends how you define a coastal. Dec 2nd was a pretty strong low over just inside the BM, rain for most but N & NW MA got warning snowfall Then you have a couple weaker ones like Dec 14th and Jan 18-19th systems.

Tri-State snowfall totals.