The 4 Seasons

lol. can't win em all I'm sure a lot of NYC folks would feel the same about Mar 2017...even Dec 2003 it looks like around your area did very well compared to the city. That storm blew chunks here. Dry slot city. Orange county definitely got some of the goods that storm.

20 years. I recently re-mapped this storm and included a new map for the lower northeast with climate sites on it. I have a full radar loop and bunch more stuff up on our site. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-11-12-2006

Today (and yesterday) is the 20th anniversary of the Feb 11-12th, 2006 Blizzard. An intense band from BOS to NYC dropped 16-27" of snow at rates over 4" per hour during the early morning and afternoon hours of the 12th. Widespread thunder was reported in the NYC area and i believe they picked up 10" of snow in 2 hours. In honor of this historic blizzard i recently re-mapped the entire event and included a new L. Northeast map with all the climo sites. I got a full radar animation on our site along with a bunch of other images related to the storm. Fun fact: This storm broke the all-time record in NYC with 26.9" that held for about 10 years when it was finally broken in 2016 with 27.5". Initially the record held as the final storm total in 2016 was 26.8", missed it by one tenth of an inch. But after nearly 2-3 months later, OKX reanalyzed the event and based on surrounding obs and radar they determined that it was an under report and changed it to 27.5". So the NYC record is technically an estimate rather than a direct ob. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-11-12-2006

wow, congrats!

i see, yea thats probably more like a D than a C

? how bad could it have been, what did you go with

-Like 1 in a thousand? -More like... 1 in a million. ineedsnow:

dreams of SLGT risks

Snowfall totals from this light mixed event. Definitely a little on the under in the 1-3 in nrn CT and the C-1 was mostly a light coating of snow/sleet to nothing near the shore, overall it wasn't terrible. C

I think we're gonna see some more teases before it's eventually over. It just won't die completely on ensembles. Even the 6Z GEFS has a couple big hits on it when 00Z had zero. EPS and AIEPS have several. I'd give it a <10% chance but it's worth keeping one eye half opened. lmao, i saw that, MJOs favorite model now that the NAVGEM is gone

but what about everyone else?

your boy in Cumberland says its as bad as the past 3 winters, straight ratter

6-7 ish around here

Yeah im just looking for at least 1 warning event in Feb and 1 in March to start considering it for the A/A- range. Really sucks when we leave an entire calendar month open with bl normal snowfall and no storms like Jan 2021. Snowpack was really good around here this winter. For low elevations in southern Connecticut, continuous snowpack for longer than a week is usually the exception and not the rule. A typical winter, even a really good one like 16-17 or 17-18 it snows, melts, rains..rains some more then repeat. It's only those few instances like 2011, 2015, 2021 where we had prolonged deep snowpack right down to the shore for several straight weeks

This storm is now up as the 10th 3"+ snow event of the season with snowfall maps/radar/sfc/upper air maps in the archive https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-6-7-2026

i feel like we been baited nearly every day since last Wednesday we've been tracking/talking about this system.

That is a pretty crazy mean

no clue homie, the thing that catches my eye is the AIFS, not the ensemble but main model, is now coming N/stronger with the low for the first time yet for this storm. Even last night at 00Z when the euro showed a big hit, it wanted nothing to do with it.

damn this storm

for you, yeah, for the S. coast and CT we had a storm in late feb that was near warning, then a warning event in march 1 then march 4-5th then another boarderline warning event on march 21st. id also add 2021 and 2014 to that list. 2014 was painful watching the march storm slip away with virtually nothing in march and 2021 ended abruptly around Feb 22nd with a rogue interior event in late april.

seems like it though 00z was the big "on" one last night and then 6z backed off slightly then 12z now 18z is back up again..

AIEPS is pretty beefed up again... thats all thats loaded so far on wxbell no regular EPS yet, this storm wont die lol. i feel like more teases are coming tonight and tomorrow...

and @CoastalWx it's funny because i made a comment when i did the 2nd update in late Jan to the seasonal snowfall that S/SE Essex county was in a massive snow hole and probably had the biggest deficit of snowfall to date in SNE. It's almost as if mother nature saw this and was like welp lemme fill in that hole and even it out, but then went wayyy over board and now they're a snow bubble there, not a hole. Pretty wild. Rockport to Marblehead just got smoked after Jan 20th.

@MJO812 lmao you got bamboozled and hoodwinked, saw that coming from a mile away. AIs were never on board

EDIT: Updated map again for additional reports in Ulster and Berkshire counties. We just crossed the 25th anniversary of what is my #1 all-time fav snowstorm. @CoastalWx just linked me to a page about the 25th anniversary of the great Apr 1, 97 blizzard and it got me to thinking about this one. It doesn't get mentioned very often and we've certainly had bigger storms, even recently. However, Feb 2001 is no slouch and a lot of areas received 1-2ft+ in a short amount of time. This storm as well as Dec 2000 and Mar 2001 are what got me interested in meteorology at young age. As Scott as mentioned with Apr 1, the nostalgia and way i felt that day can never be duplicated. Totals alone may not seem like that big of a deal but this stands out and holds my #1 spot for several reasons: Over performer to the max - Forecasts just a couple days before were for rain/snow showers with <1" possible . The day before, in the morning a WS Watch went up for 4-7". And even the morning of the event the forecast was only 5-7". Local news snowfall maps were generally 3-5/5-8/8-12 south to north. 12 hours later 14-25" of heavy wet snow blanketed the state. Road crews were caught off guard and secondary roads remained unplowed for over a day. Flake size & Rates - To this day i haven't seen flakes that large, half-dollar sized aggregates stuck together. I read many reports about people noticing this during the beginning of the storm. Snowfall rates of 2-4" per hour late morning into early afternoon. Thundersnow - First time ever i witnessed thundersnow and at the time i had no idea that was even possible during a winter storm. I just happened to be looking outside right during dusk about 5pm or so and watched as a CG strike hit just a couple hundred feet away with heavy snow/sleet following it. Timing - The timing was perfect starting just after 9AM and lasted through the entire day with over a foot of snow by dark. Schools were closed for 2 days with a delay on the third. I just finished replotting this event for the 25th anniversary and included a new lower northeast map as well. There's a full radar loop up on the site and surface animation but i really can't find much on this storm so if anyone has any free use images or radar please post em here. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-5-2001 On February 5, 2001, the Philadelphia area was hit by an unexpected snowstorm that trapped students in schools across the region. What began as a rainy morning quickly descended into chaos. By midday, the storm in~.mp4