The 4 Seasons

Damn I only got 13 and I was pretty stoked considering i was expecting 10-16

Thanks i never made a post about it here but you can read about it here. There's also a website updates page to see what's new every week, it's always a continual work in progress. 25-26 storms are being updated in near real time on the dedicated page for it.

So what's your memory of the events of 2016? Initially the record wasn't broken with 26.8" and after 2 or 3 months they changed it to 27.5" based on surrounding obs and radar. Didn't that storm shake up measurement guidelines for the city and the guy doing official measurements get replaced or something?

What did i say just a few hours ago lol...more teases coming We'll see more today and tonight. Every day the euro suite is baiting us.

lol. can't win em all I'm sure a lot of NYC folks would feel the same about Mar 2017...even Dec 2003 it looks like around your area did very well compared to the city. That storm blew chunks here. Dry slot city. Orange county definitely got some of the goods that storm.

20 years. I recently re-mapped this storm and included a new map for the lower northeast with climate sites on it. I have a full radar loop and bunch more stuff up on our site. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-11-12-2006

Today (and yesterday) is the 20th anniversary of the Feb 11-12th, 2006 Blizzard. An intense band from BOS to NYC dropped 16-27" of snow at rates over 4" per hour during the early morning and afternoon hours of the 12th. Widespread thunder was reported in the NYC area and i believe they picked up 10" of snow in 2 hours. In honor of this historic blizzard i recently re-mapped the entire event and included a new L. Northeast map with all the climo sites. I got a full radar animation on our site along with a bunch of other images related to the storm. Fun fact: This storm broke the all-time record in NYC with 26.9" that held for about 10 years when it was finally broken in 2016 with 27.5". Initially the record held as the final storm total in 2016 was 26.8", missed it by one tenth of an inch. But after nearly 2-3 months later, OKX reanalyzed the event and based on surrounding obs and radar they determined that it was an under report and changed it to 27.5". So the NYC record is technically an estimate rather than a direct ob. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-11-12-2006

wow, congrats!

i see, yea thats probably more like a D than a C

? how bad could it have been, what did you go with

-Like 1 in a thousand? -More like... 1 in a million. ineedsnow:

dreams of SLGT risks

Snowfall totals from this light mixed event. Definitely a little on the under in the 1-3 in nrn CT and the C-1 was mostly a light coating of snow/sleet to nothing near the shore, overall it wasn't terrible. C

I think we're gonna see some more teases before it's eventually over. It just won't die completely on ensembles. Even the 6Z GEFS has a couple big hits on it when 00Z had zero. EPS and AIEPS have several. I'd give it a <10% chance but it's worth keeping one eye half opened. lmao, i saw that, MJOs favorite model now that the NAVGEM is gone

but what about everyone else?

your boy in Cumberland says its as bad as the past 3 winters, straight ratter

6-7 ish around here

Yeah im just looking for at least 1 warning event in Feb and 1 in March to start considering it for the A/A- range. Really sucks when we leave an entire calendar month open with bl normal snowfall and no storms like Jan 2021. Snowpack was really good around here this winter. For low elevations in southern Connecticut, continuous snowpack for longer than a week is usually the exception and not the rule. A typical winter, even a really good one like 16-17 or 17-18 it snows, melts, rains..rains some more then repeat. It's only those few instances like 2011, 2015, 2021 where we had prolonged deep snowpack right down to the shore for several straight weeks

This storm is now up as the 10th 3"+ snow event of the season with snowfall maps/radar/sfc/upper air maps in the archive https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/feb-6-7-2026

i feel like we been baited nearly every day since last Wednesday we've been tracking/talking about this system.

That is a pretty crazy mean

no clue homie, the thing that catches my eye is the AIFS, not the ensemble but main model, is now coming N/stronger with the low for the first time yet for this storm. Even last night at 00Z when the euro showed a big hit, it wanted nothing to do with it.

damn this storm

for you, yeah, for the S. coast and CT we had a storm in late feb that was near warning, then a warning event in march 1 then march 4-5th then another boarderline warning event on march 21st. id also add 2021 and 2014 to that list. 2014 was painful watching the march storm slip away with virtually nothing in march and 2021 ended abruptly around Feb 22nd with a rogue interior event in late april.

seems like it though 00z was the big "on" one last night and then 6z backed off slightly then 12z now 18z is back up again..